Birzebbuga v Marsaxlokk

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Marsaxlokk win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Marsaxlokk was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 14–22–64
3. 1′KICK-OFF Birzebbuga v Marsaxlokk
4. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Marsaxlokk win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
5. 41′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 15–33–52
6. 45′SECOND HALF Birzebbuga 0–0 Marsaxlokk
7. 46′HALF-TIME Birzebbuga 0–0 Marsaxlokk
8. 47′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 51–29–20
9. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Birzebbuga 1–0 Marsaxlokk
10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Marsaxlokk win: 64% at kick-off, 20% now
11. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Birzebbuga win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Marsaxlokk win 49%)
12. 49′Birzebbuga score on 48′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 52–29–19
13. 50′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 52–29–19
14. 58′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 58–28–14
15. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Marsaxlokk win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
16. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Birzebbuga
17. 66′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 64–27–9
18. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Marsaxlokk
19. 69′We said Marsaxlokk at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 92–6–1
20. 69′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 2–0 · 92–6–1
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Marsaxlokk · On: S. Smajlagic · Off: Dodo
22. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Birzebbuga 2–0 Marsaxlokk
23. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Marsaxlokk win: 64% at kick-off, 1% now
24. 70′Birzebbuga find the net on 70′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
25. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Marsaxlokk · On: L. Caruana · Off: N. Muscat
26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Marsaxlokk · On: D. Simkus · Off: J. Minala
27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Birzebbuga · On: Z. Cassar · Off: M. Azzopardi
28. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Birzebbuga · On: S. Tokic · Off: G. Costa Goncalves
29. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Marsaxlokk · On: T. Caruana · Off: M. Garcia
30. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Marsaxlokk
31. 94′Full time, 2–0. We called Marsaxlokk at 64% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–0 · 100–0–0
32. FTFULL TIME Birzebbuga 2–0 Marsaxlokk
33. FTBirzebbuga 2–0 Marsaxlokk · Marsaxlokk win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.