Birkirkara v Floriana

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Floriana win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Floriana 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 21–29–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Birkirkara v Floriana
4. 3′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–0 · 50–24–26
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Birkirkara 1–0 Floriana
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 26% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Birkirkara win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Floriana win 50%)
8. 6′Birkirkara score on 4′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 51–25–25
9. 7′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 51–25–24
10. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Birkirkara 1–1 Floriana
11. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 47% now
12. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Floriana win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Birkirkara win 53%)
13. 17′Floriana find the net on 16′. 1–1. 1–1 · 21–32–47
14. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Birkirkara
15. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Frazan · Birkirkara
16. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
17. 45′SECOND HALF Birkirkara 1–1 Floriana
18. 46′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 19–43–38
19. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Floriana win 41%)
20. 48′HALF-TIME Birkirkara 1–1 Floriana
21. 54′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 17–48–34
22. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
23. 63′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 15–56–29
24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Floriana · On: T. Gudelj · Off: Y. Jbira
25. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Birkirkara
26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
27. 75′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 10–70–19
28. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Birkirkara · On: K. Reid · Off: Rafa Santos
29. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Birkirkara · On: A. Djordjevic · Off: L. Pahama
30. 80′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 8–79–14
31. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Floriana
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Floriana win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
33. 84′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 5–86–9
34. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Floriana · On: A. Drina · Off: K. Dervisagic
35. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Birkirkara · On: J. Busuttil · Off: Amarildo
36. 91′We said Floriana at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–94–4
37. 96′1–1 at the end. Our 50% on Floriana misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
38. FTFULL TIME Birkirkara 1–1 Floriana
39. FTBirkirkara 1–1 Floriana · Floriana win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.