Balzan FC v Zabbar St. Patrick

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Balzan FC win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Balzan FC 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–29–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Balzan FC v Zabbar St. Patrick
4. 6′Balzan FC score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 68–18–14
5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Balzan FC 1–0 Zabbar St. Patrick
6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Balzan FC win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
7. 8′We said Balzan FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–14
8. 21′Zabbar St. Patrick find the net on 21′. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–33–31
9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Balzan FC 1–1 Zabbar St. Patrick
10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Balzan FC win: 38% at kick-off, 36% now
11. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Balzan FC win 33%)
12. 45′HALF-TIME Balzan FC 1–1 Zabbar St. Patrick
13. 46′SECOND HALF Balzan FC 1–1 Zabbar St. Patrick
14. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Zabbar St. Patrick
15. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Balzan FC · On: S. Cipriott · Off: N. Pulis
16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Balzan FC win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
17. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Balzan FC
18. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Balzan FC
19. 57′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 27–49–24
20. 59′We said Balzan FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–50–23
21. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 51' A. Dimeji · Balzan FC
22. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Balzan FC
23. 64′We said Balzan FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–21
24. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Zabbar St. Patrick · On: T. Melillo · Off: J. Micallef
25. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 62' M. Jovicic · Zabbar St. Patrick
26. 72′We said Balzan FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Zabbar St. Patrick · On: T. Moriceau · Off: M. Jovicic
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Balzan FC win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
29. 76′A goal for Zabbar St. Patrick on 75′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–84
30. 76′We said Balzan FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–2 · 2–14–84
31. 76′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–14–84
32. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Balzan FC 1–2 Zabbar St. Patrick
33. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Balzan FC win: 38% at kick-off, 2% now
34. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Zabbar St. Patrick win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
35. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Balzan FC · On: M. Yahaya · Off: V. Kuach Yuel
36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Zabbar St. Patrick · On: A. Ellard · Off: S. Magri
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Zabbar St. Patrick · On: M. Fontanella · Off: Vinicius Kanu
38. 88′Balzan FC are down to ten from 87′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 0–5–94
39. 88′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Balzan FC
40. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Zabbar St. Patrick
41. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Balzan FC · On: J. Portelli · Off: Z. Grech
42. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Zabbar St. Patrick
43. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Balzan FC
44. FTFULL TIME Balzan FC 1–2 Zabbar St. Patrick
45. FTBalzan FC 1–2 Zabbar St. Patrick · Balzan FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.