Zurrieq v Attard prediction · Challenge League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ZurrieqDrawAttard

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Zurrieq 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zurrieq are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zurrieq 44%, draw 24%, Attard 33%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Zurrieq v AttardBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Zurrieq win44%

Draw24%

Attard win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zurrieq

Attard

14Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Challenge League (Malta)

Last match: 23 Oct · Challenge League (Malta)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Zurrieq	4	−1	4
14	Attard	5	−3	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zurrieq winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Zurrieq a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zurrieq v Attard~~1.60 – 1.33

~~Form · Challenge League this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 3~~12 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zurrieq win	44%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Attard win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Zurrieq or draw	67%	–	–
Zurrieq clean sheet	28%	–	–
Attard clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.6 7.6 4.8 2.2 1 9.1 10.8 7.3 3.3 2 6.8 8.6 5.6 2.6 3 3.7 4.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zurrieq down, Attard across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,055 Challenge League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Challenge League matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.1% of games this season, across 37 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zurrieq at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Attard away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Zurrieq, 1.33 for Attard. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ZUR 1–1 ATT · ZUR 1–2 ATT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Challenge League this season · since 12 Sept

ZURRIEQ

LLDW0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

ATTARD

DLDDL3–3 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tarxien Rainbows	5	+8	15
2	Fgura United	5	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	+3	10
4	Mgarr United	4	+3	9
5	Swieqi United	4	+1	7
6	Melita	5	+1	7
7	St. Andrews	5	−3	7
8	Pietà Hotspurs	4	0	6
9	Victoria Hotspurs	4	0	6
10	Vittoriosa Stars	4	0	5
11	Santa Lucía	5	0	5
12	Zurrieq	4	−1	4
13	Sirens	5	−2	4
14	Attard	5	−3	3
15	Zebbug Rangers	5	−7	3
16	Gudja United	5	−8	0