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Zebbug Rangers v Melita
Zebbug Rangers
MelitaChallenge League · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Melita win at 60%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Zebbug Rangers v Melita
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Melita 60% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 19–21–60
- 32′Melita find the net on 32′. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–14–81
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Zebbug Rangers 0–1 Melita
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Melita win: 60% at kick-off, 81% now
- 33′We said Melita at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 0–1 · 5–14–81
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 5–14–81
- 45′HALF-TIME Zebbug Rangers 0–1 Melita
- 46′SECOND HALF Zebbug Rangers 0–1 Melita
- 65′We said Melita at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 78′A goal for Melita on 77′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 78′We said Melita at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Zebbug Rangers 0–2 Melita
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Melita win: 60% at kick-off, 99% now
- 81′We said Melita at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Melita win: 60% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 82′K. Mohnani scores for Melita on 78′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 92′Zebbug Rangers score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Zebbug Rangers 1–2 Melita
- FTFULL TIME Zebbug Rangers 1–2 Melita
- FTZebbug Rangers 1–2 Melita · Melita win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Melita are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Zebbug Rangers 19%, draw 20%, Melita 60%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Zebbug Rangers win19%
Melita win60%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:15
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Zebbug RangersMIN
MelitaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zebbug Rangers
Melita
Last match: 18 Oct · Challenge League (Malta)
Last match: 17 Oct · Challenge League (Malta)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Melita a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 62%, 60% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zebbug Rangers win | 19% | 14% | +5 |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | −1 |
| Melita win | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 49% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 76% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 34% | +3 |
| Zebbug Rangers or draw | 40% | 35% | +5 |
| Zebbug Rangers clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Melita clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Challenge League this season · since 13 Sept
ZEBBUG RANGERS
MELITA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarxien Rainbows | 4 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Naxxar Lions | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Mgarr United | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Fgura United | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 5 | Swieqi United | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Pietà Hotspurs | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Victoria Hotspurs | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Vittoriosa Stars | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Melita | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Santa Lucía | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Sirens | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 12 | Zurrieq | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 13 | St. Andrews | 4 | −4 | 4 |
| 14 | Attard | 4 | −2 | 3 |
| 15 | Zebbug Rangers | 4 | −6 | 3 |
| 16 | Gudja United | 4 | −7 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Mgarr United
Fgura United
Swieqi United
Pietà Hotspurs
Victoria Hotspurs
Vittoriosa Stars
Santa Lucía
Sirens
Zurrieq
St. Andrews
Attard
Gudja United