Vittoriosa Stars v Attard

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Attard win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Attard was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 36–26–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vittoriosa Stars v Attard
4. 7′A goal for Vittoriosa Stars on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 62–21–17
5. 7′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–0 · 62–21–17
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Vittoriosa Stars 1–0 Attard
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Vittoriosa Stars win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Attard win 17%)
9. 13′Attard score on 12′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 34–28–37
10. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Vittoriosa Stars 1–1 Attard
11. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 16′13′: N. Cassar on the scoresheet for Attard, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 34–29–37
13. 39′Vittoriosa Stars find the net on 38′. 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–10
14. 39′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 2–1 · 67–22–10
15. 39′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 67–22–10
16. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Vittoriosa Stars 2–1 Attard
17. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 10% now
18. 44′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 69–22–9
19. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
20. 45′Vittoriosa Stars ahead on 39′ through E. Vielma. 2–1. 2–1 · 69–22–9
21. 45′HALF-TIME Vittoriosa Stars 2–1 Attard
22. 46′SECOND HALF Vittoriosa Stars 2–1 Attard
23. 59′A goal for Attard on 58′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 25–49–26
24. 59′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 25–49–26
25. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Vittoriosa Stars 2–2 Attard
26. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 26% now
27. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Vittoriosa Stars win 25%)
28. 60′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 24–50–26
29. 63′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 23–53–24
30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Attard win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
32. 90′We said Attard at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
33. FTFULL TIME Vittoriosa Stars 2–2 Attard
34. FTVittoriosa Stars 2–2 Attard · Attard win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.