Swieqi United v Sirens

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Swieqi United win at 45%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Swieqi United v Sirens
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Swieqi United was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–22–34
4. 8′Swieqi United find the net on 8′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–18–16
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Swieqi United 1–0 Sirens
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 66% now
7. 9′We published Swieqi United at 45%. Our model now makes it 66%. 1–0 · 66–18–16
8. 15′A goal for Sirens on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 43–24–33
9. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Swieqi United 1–1 Sirens
10. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 43% now
11. 18′Sirens score on 18′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 21–21–58
12. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Swieqi United 1–2 Sirens
13. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
14. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Sirens win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Swieqi United win 21%)
15. 19′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–2 · 21–21–58
16. 26′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–22–59
17. 30′Swieqi United find the net on 30′. 2–2. 2–2 · 41–27–32
18. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Swieqi United 2–2 Sirens
19. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 41% now
20. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Swieqi United win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sirens win 32%)
21. 31′4 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 40–28–32
22. 45′HALF-TIME Swieqi United 2–2 Sirens
23. 46′SECOND HALF Swieqi United 2–2 Sirens
24. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
25. 56′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–39–27
26. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Swieqi United win 33%)
27. 65′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
28. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
29. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
30. 82′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–12
31. 86′We said Swieqi United at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–83–8
32. 91′A goal for Swieqi United on 90′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
33. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Swieqi United 3–2 Sirens
34. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 96% now
35. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Swieqi United win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
36. 92′We published Swieqi United at 45%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–2 · 97–3–0
37. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Swieqi United win: 45% at kick-off, 97% now
38. 93′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 97–3–0
39. FTFULL TIME Swieqi United 3–2 Sirens
40. FTSwieqi United 3–2 Sirens · Swieqi United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.