Gudja United v Fgura United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fgura United win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fgura United 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 24–23–53
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gudja United v Fgura United
4. 3′A goal for Gudja United on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 47–24–28
5. 3′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 47–24–28
6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Gudja United 1–0 Fgura United
7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Gudja United win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Fgura United win 53%)
9. 17′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 50–25–24
10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 54–26–20
12. 32′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–26–19
13. 45′HALF-TIME Gudja United 1–0 Fgura United
14. 46′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
15. 46′SECOND HALF Gudja United 1–0 Fgura United
16. 48′Fgura United score on 48′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–40–40
17. 48′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 21–40–40
18. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
19. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Gudja United 1–1 Fgura United
20. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 40% now
21. 49′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 20–40–39
22. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Gudja United win 60%)
23. 59′We said Fgura United at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 18–48–34
24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
25. 68′Fgura United find the net on 68′. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–85
26. 68′We said Fgura United at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
27. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Gudja United 1–2 Fgura United
28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 85% now
29. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Fgura United win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 56%)
30. 69′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–13–85
31. 78′We said Fgura United at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Fgura United win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
33. 86′We said Fgura United at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
34. FTFULL TIME Gudja United 1–2 Fgura United
35. FTGudja United 1–2 Fgura United · Fgura United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.