Selangor v Kuching FA

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Selangor win at 49%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Selangor v Kuching FA
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Selangor was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
4. 9′Kuching FA find the net on 7′. 0–0 · 48–27–26
5. 10′We said Selangor at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–53
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 7' Selangor 0–1 Kuching FA
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 24% now
8. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' Kuching FA win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Selangor win 48%)
9. 18′A goal for Selangor on 17′. 0–1 · 22–24–54
10. 19′⚽ GOAL · 17' Selangor 1–1 Kuching FA
11. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 46% now
12. 19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Selangor win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Kuching FA win 54%)
13. 21′E. Sosa scores for Selangor on 19′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 45–29–25
14. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
15. 45′HALF-TIME Selangor 1–1 Kuching FA
16. 45′SECOND HALF Selangor 1–1 Kuching FA
17. 48′We said Selangor at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–40–22
18. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Selangor win 39%)
19. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Kuching FA
20. 53′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 35–43–21
21. 55′We said Selangor at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
22. 59′Selangor score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
23. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Selangor 2–1 Kuching FA
24. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 80% now
25. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Selangor win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 48%)
26. 60′We published Selangor at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–3
27. 60′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 80–16–3
28. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Kuching FA
29. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kuching FA · On: D. Lambert · Off: S. Rasid
30. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Selangor · On: K. Tejan · Off: E. Sosa
31. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Selangor
32. 71′We published Selangor at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
34. 79′We published Selangor at 49%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
35. 86′We published Selangor at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Selangor · On: Vitor Pernambuco · Off: H. Boumous
37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kuching FA · On: D. Wenzel-Halls · Off: J. Mpacko Etame
38. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kuching FA · On: S. Iszuan · Off: J. Pedro
39. 90′Full time, 2–1. We called Selangor at 49% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
40. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Selangor · On: Z. Khalili · Off: S. Baharudin Corrected
41. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Selangor · On: H. Haiqal · Off: S. Baharudin
42. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Selangor · On: Z. Khalili · Off: Q. Cheng
43. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Selangor win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
44. FTFULL TIME Selangor 2–1 Kuching FA
45. FTSelangor 2–1 Kuching FA · Selangor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.