Selangor v Imigresen prediction · FA Cup

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Selangor 2–3 Imigresen SELANGOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Selangor win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.444

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Selangor win at 77%.
5′KICK-OFF Selangor v Imigresen
6′Much as we predicted: Selangor was 77% before kick-off and our model makes it 78% now. 0–0 · 78–14–8
8′Much as we predicted: Selangor was 77% before kick-off and our model makes it 77% now. 0–0 · 77–14–9
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Selangor 1–0 Imigresen
14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Imigresen
28′Z. Khalili scores for Selangor on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
32′Z. Khalili scores for Selangor on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 78% now
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Selangor 2–0 Imigresen
41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Imigresen
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Selangor
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Imigresen
45′HALF-TIME Selangor 2–0 Imigresen
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Rafael Vitor · Imigresen
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Selangor win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
46′SECOND HALF Selangor 2–0 Imigresen
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Selangor
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Selangor 2–1 Imigresen
66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Imigresen · On: Ramon Machado · Off: Pedro Henrique
67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Imigresen · On: Ramon Machado · Off: Pedro Henrique
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Selangor 2–2 Imigresen
76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Selangor 2–2 Imigresen
84′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Selangor · On: N. Laine · Off: P. Makrillos
85′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Imigresen · On: N. Akif · Off: Pedro Santos
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Selangor 2–3 Imigresen
FTFULL TIME Selangor 2–3 Imigresen
FTSelangor 2–3 Imigresen · Selangor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Selangor win77%

Draw13%

Imigresen win9%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

VenueMBPJ Stadium

Line-ups

Selangor

Imigresen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Selangor

Imigresen

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Selangor	3	+4	7
7	Imigresen	3	−1	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Selangor

Formation not confirmed

31 S. Nazrel

5 A. Xhemajli

8 P. Makrillos

10 E. Sosa

14 Z. Khalili

16 A. Selvan

21 S. Baharudin

43 S. Bashah

46 A. Raop

76 A. Izwan

98 Vitor Pernambuco

Coach · Pan-Gon Kim

Substitutes

20 · A. Al Amin

2 · Q. Cheng

6 · N. Laine

11 · K. Tejan

29 · M. Ajmal

55 · H. Haiqal

37 · Pedro Ataide

40 · J. Tabinas

34 · D. Haykal

Imigresen

Formation not confirmed

43 F. Abdul Majid

25 A. Ibrahim

17 Rafael Vitor

2 N. Leddel

7 M. Atede

34 A. Aiman

14 Endrick

5 Pedro Santos

97 Douglas Oliveira

22 E. M. Nur Shakir

10 Pedro Henrique

Coach · Mehmet Durakovic

Substitutes

23 · H. Hakim

13 · L. Hakim

3 · A. Zahir

29 · Z. Arifin

33 · N. Akif

8 · T. Saravanan

19 · M. Dani

16 · Ramon Machado

6 · A. Fikri

Our number · selangor winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Selangor a 77% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Selangor win	77%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Imigresen win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Selangor or draw	91%	–	–
Selangor clean sheet	43%	–	–
Imigresen clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.4%

0123450 2.7 2.1 1 6.7 6.0 2.7 2 9.4 8.0 3.6 3 8.9 7.4 3.3 4 6.6 5.4 2.3 5 4.1 3.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Selangor down, Imigresen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 783 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Selangor at home: 3.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Imigresen away: 2.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.95 goals for Selangor, 0.87 for Imigresen. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SEL 4–0 IMI · IMI 1–3 SEL

Form · last six in FA Cup

SELANGOR

WWWWWW4–0 · 6–0 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 3–0

IMIGRESEN

WDLLDD3–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–7 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Johor Darul Takzim FC	4	+21	12
2	Kuching FA	4	+7	8
3	Selangor	3	+4	7
4	Penang	4	−6	6
5	Kuala Lumpur FA	3	+1	5
6	DPMM FC Brunei	3	+1	4
7	Imigresen	3	−1	4
8	Kelantan City	4	−2	4
9	Terengganu	2	−1	3
10	Negeri Sembilan	2	−1	3
11	Sabah FA	2	−1	1
12	Perak	2	−1	1
13	Kedah	2	−2	1
14	Kelantan Red Warrior FC	2	−4	1
15	Melaka	2	−2	0
16	Damansara	2	−13	0