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Johor Darul Takzim FC v Penang

Johor Darul Takzim FC
4–1Full time
Penang

FA Cup · FRI 9 OCT · Sultan Ibrahim Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 12:32
Johor Darul Takzim FC 4–1 Penang JOHOR DARUL TAKZIM FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Johor Darul Takzim FC win94%
The market said74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.005
The market’s Brier score0.104

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Johor Darul Takzim FC win94%
Draw4%
Penang win1%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 10:00

Venue · Sultan Ibrahim Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Abad Amat

2 M. Davies

5 Antonio Cristian

7 S. Zahedi

9 Bergson

21 D. Petrovic

23 E. Israfilov

28 N. Mendez

33 J. Silva

88 M. Hidalgo

97 Yago Cesar

Coach · Xisco

Substitutes

16 · S. Hazmi

12 · S. Wilkin

20 · Dani Bolt

22 · L. Corbin-Ong

31 · A. Hadi

40 · D. Amirruddin

41 · S. Kutty

47 · A. Aketxe

77 · M. Nahuel

Penang

Formation not confirmed

22 R. Hamid

8 O. Porteria

15 S. Brundo

6 K. Akmal

55 F. Obilor

67 M. Fahmi

77 B. Kosimov

37 H. Azim

92 A. Haiqal

11 J. Gayoso

9 E. Celestine

Coach · Wan Rohaimi

Substitutes

1 · K. Khalid

20 · D. Deraman

57 · D. Ganasan

80 · I. Iziruddin

13 · K. Naskam

14 · F. Saiyadi

33 · J. Jasmi

32 · S. Fikri

7 · M. Bobojonov

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Johor Darul Takzim FC

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Abad Amat

2 M. Davies

5 Antonio Cristian

7 S. Zahedi

9 Bergson

21 D. Petrovic

23 E. Israfilov

28 N. Mendez

33 J. Silva

88 M. Hidalgo

97 Yago Cesar

Coach · Xisco

Substitutes

16 · S. Hazmi

12 · S. Wilkin

20 · Dani Bolt

22 · L. Corbin-Ong

31 · A. Hadi

40 · D. Amirruddin

41 · S. Kutty

47 · A. Aketxe

77 · M. Nahuel

Penang

Formation not confirmed

22 R. Hamid

8 O. Porteria

15 S. Brundo

6 K. Akmal

55 F. Obilor

67 M. Fahmi

77 B. Kosimov

37 H. Azim

92 A. Haiqal

11 J. Gayoso

9 E. Celestine

Coach · Wan Rohaimi

Substitutes

1 · K. Khalid

20 · D. Deraman

57 · D. Ganasan

80 · I. Iziruddin

13 · K. Naskam

14 · F. Saiyadi

33 · J. Jasmi

32 · S. Fikri

7 · M. Bobojonov

Our number · johor darul takzim fc winPublished 9 Oct 10:02
94% The market74%
Us94%
Market74%

We make Johor Darul Takzim FC a 94% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 21 points more confident than the market. The model expects 4.3–0.4.

How the number movedSince we published
70%80%90%100% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 07:26
Our probability · johor darul takzim fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 76% to 74% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Johor Darul Takzim FC win94%74%+21
Draw4%13%−9
Penang win1%13%−12
Over 2.5 goals84%79%+5
Both teams to score33%53%−20
Over 1.5 goals94%91%+3
Over 3.5 goals69%63%+6
Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw99%87%+12
Johor Darul Takzim FC clean sheet66%––
Penang clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–0 at 11.9%
0123450 1 4.2 2 8.3 3.6 3 11.3 4.8 4 11.9 4.9 5 10.3 4.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Johor Darul Takzim FC down, Penang across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored0 of 10
Last meetingsPEN 0–4 JOH · JOH 6–0 PEN · PEN 0–3 JOH · JOH 5–0 PEN

Form · last six in FA Cup

JOHOR DARUL TAKZIM FC

WWWWWW14–1 · 3–0 · 9–0 · 7–0 · 3–0 · 3–0

PENANG

DWLLDW1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Johor Darul Takzim FC3+189
2Selangor3+47
3Penang3−36
4Kuching FA3+45
5Kuala Lumpur FA3+15
6DPMM FC Brunei3+14
7Kelantan City3+14
8Imigresen3−14
9Terengganu2−13
10Negeri Sembilan2−13
11Sabah FA2−11
12Perak2−11
13Kedah2−21
14Kelantan Red Warrior FC2−41
15Melaka2−20
16Damansara2−130

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.