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DPMM FC Brunei v Johor Darul Takzim FC

DPMM FC Brunei
0–2Full time
Johor Darul Takzim FC

FA Cup · FRI 23 OCT · Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 16:02
DPMM FC Brunei 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC JOHOR DARUL TAKZIM FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG0–4 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Johor Darul Takzim FC win92%
The market said83%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.009
The market’s Brier score0.047

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Johor Darul Takzim FC win at 92%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Johor Darul Takzim FC 92% before kick-off, 92% now. 0–0 · 2–5–92
  3. 1′KICK-OFF DPMM FC Brunei v Johor Darul Takzim FC
  4. 21′Johor Darul Takzim FC score on 21′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 1–3–97
  5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' DPMM FC Brunei 0–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC
  6. 45′HALF-TIME DPMM FC Brunei 0–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC
  7. 46′SECOND HALF DPMM FC Brunei 0–1 Johor Darul Takzim FC
  8. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Johor Darul Takzim FC · On: A. Aiman · Off: Yago Cesar
  9. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Johor Darul Takzim FC · On: Jairo · Off: S. Zahedi
  10. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' DPMM FC Brunei
  11. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' DPMM FC Brunei · On: N. Swirad · Off: N. Othman
  12. 72′Johor Darul Takzim FC find the net on 72′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  13. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' DPMM FC Brunei 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC
  14. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Johor Darul Takzim FC
  15. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Johor Darul Takzim FC · On: D. Amirruddin · Off: Bergson
  16. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Johor Darul Takzim FC · On: A. Aketxe · Off: Nene
  17. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Johor Darul Takzim FC · On: N. Mendez · Off: M. Hidalgo
  18. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' DPMM FC Brunei · On: S. Shariff · Off: H. Said
  19. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' DPMM FC Brunei · On: F. Aspegren · Off: M. Oliveira
  20. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' DPMM FC Brunei · On: N. Azaman · Off: F. Izdiham
  21. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' DPMM FC Brunei · On: F. Aspegren · Off: M. Oliveira
  22. FTFULL TIME DPMM FC Brunei 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC
  23. FTDPMM FC Brunei 0–2 Johor Darul Takzim FC · Johor Darul Takzim FC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–4 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Johor Darul Takzim FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: DPMM FC Brunei 2%, draw 5%, Johor Darul Takzim FC 92%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on DPMM FC Brunei v Johor Darul Takzim FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

DPMM FC Brunei win2%
Draw5%
Johor Darul Takzim FC win92%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:15

RoundSemi-finals

VenueSultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

DPMM FC Brunei

Johor Darul Takzim FC

5Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malaysia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malaysia)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · johor darul takzim fc winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 04:39 · locked at kick-off
92% The market83%
Us92%
Market83%

We make Johor Darul Takzim FC a 92% chance to win. The market has them at 83%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.6–4.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · DPMM FC Brunei v Johor Darul Takzim FC0.58 – 4.20
Form · FA Cup this season · since 1 SeptW2 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L0
The market · Johor Darul Takzim FC win83% · ours 92%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
80%85%90%95% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 12:48
Our probability · Johor Darul Takzim FC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 93%, 92% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 83% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
DPMM FC Brunei win2%5%−3
Draw5%12%−7
Johor Darul Takzim FC win92%83%+9
Over 2.5 goals84%63%+21
Both teams to score42%36%+6
Over 1.5 goals94%82%+12
Over 3.5 goals69%43%+26
DPMM FC Brunei or draw8%17%−9
DPMM FC Brunei clean sheet2%––
Johor Darul Takzim FC clean sheet57%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–4 at 10.4%
0123450 3.9 7.7 10.2 10.4 8.71 2.3 4.4 5.7 5.7 4.62 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+DPMM FC Brunei down, Johor Darul Takzim FC across0–5 goals a side shown (74.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting5.33
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsJOH 3–0 DPM · DPM 0–3 JOH · JOH 10–0 DPM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Cup this season · since 1 Sept

DPMM FC BRUNEI

LWDW2–3 · 3–1 · 3–3 · 1–0

JOHOR DARUL TAKZIM FC

WWWW4–1 · 10–0 · 7–2 · 4–1