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Model 1.2

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Silver Strikers v Kamuzu Barracks

Silver Strikers
0–0Full time
Kamuzu Barracks

Super League · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Silver Strikers 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks SILVER STRIKERS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Silver Strikers win68%
The market said66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.093
The market’s Brier score1.034

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Silver Strikers win at 68%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Silver Strikers 68% before kick-off, 68% now. 0–0 · 68–22–10
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Silver Strikers v Kamuzu Barracks
  4. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 58% now
  5. 34′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 56%. 0–0 · 56–33–11
  6. 38′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–35–11
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Silver Strikers 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Silver Strikers 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  9. 47′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–40–11
  10. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 48% now
  11. 55′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–46–10
  12. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Silver Strikers win 45%)
  13. 61′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–51–9
  14. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 38% now
  15. 66′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–57–9
  16. 71′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–63–8
  17. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 28% now
  18. 75′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–69–7
  19. 79′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–76–5
  20. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 17% now
  21. 82′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–82–4
  22. 86′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–88–3
  23. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Silver Strikers win: 68% at kick-off, 8% now
  24. 92′We said Silver Strikers at 68%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–95–1
  25. FTFULL TIME Silver Strikers 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  26. FTSilver Strikers 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks · Silver Strikers win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Silver Strikers are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Silver Strikers 68%, draw 21%, Kamuzu Barracks 10%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Silver Strikers v Kamuzu BarracksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Silver Strikers win68%
Draw21%
Kamuzu Barracks win10%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 18

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Silver Strikers

Kamuzu Barracks

6Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 16 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Silver Strikers17+1332
14Kamuzu Barracks17−913

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · silver strikers winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
68% The market66%
Us68%
Market66%

We make Silver Strikers a 68% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–0.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Silver Strikers v Kamuzu Barracks1.83 – 0.55
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 AugW3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 32 v 134 v 14
The market · Silver Strikers win66% · ours 68%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:34
Our probability · Silver Strikers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Silver Strikers win68%66%+2
Draw21%23%−2
Kamuzu Barracks win10%11%−1
Over 2.5 goals43%44%−1
Both teams to score35%36%−1
Over 1.5 goals69%68%+1
Over 3.5 goals22%24%−2
Silver Strikers or draw90%89%+1
Silver Strikers clean sheet58%––
Kamuzu Barracks clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.8%
0123450 9.5 5.0 1 16.8 9.3 2.5 2 15.4 8.4 2.3 3 9.4 5.1 4 4.4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Silver Strikers down, Kamuzu Barracks across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored3 of 10
Last meetingsKAM 0–2 SIL · SIL 1–0 KAM · KAM 0–2 SIL · SIL 1–0 KAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 Aug

SILVER STRIKERS

WWDLLW1–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 1–0

KAMUZU BARRACKS

DLDLLD0–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nyasa Big Bullets17+1836
2Be Forward Wanderers17+1835
3Blue Eagles18+834
4Silver Strikers17+1332
5Ekhaya18+425
6Chitipa United17−624
7Masters FC16022
8Mitundu Baptist17−122
9Red Lions17−122
10Moyale Barracks17−321
11CIVO United17−521
12Dedza Dynamos17−919
13Karonga United16−817
14Kamuzu Barracks17−913
15Creck17−913
16MAFCO17−1013

The competition's standings before kick-off.