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Silver Strikers v Be Forward Wanderers

Silver Strikers
0–1Full time
Be Forward Wanderers

Super League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers SILVER STRIKERS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Silver Strikers win45%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.854
The market’s Brier score0.731

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Silver Strikers win at 45%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Silver Strikers v Be Forward Wanderers
  3. 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  4. 2′1′ and it is 0–1: Be Forward Wanderers have scored. 0–1 · 20–25–55
  5. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Silver Strikers win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
  6. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Be Forward Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Silver Strikers win 20%)
  7. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  8. 22′17′ and it is 0–0: Be Forward Wanderers have scored. 0–0 · 41–35–24 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Silver Strikers win: 45% at kick-off, 41% now
  10. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Silver Strikers win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Be Forward Wanderers win 24%)
  11. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  12. 42′32′ and it is 0–1: C. Nyondo on the scoresheet for Be Forward Wanderers. 0–1 · 10–25–65
  13. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Silver Strikers win: 45% at kick-off, 10% now
  14. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Be Forward Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Silver Strikers win 10%)
  15. 45′We said Silver Strikers at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  18. 54′⚽ GOAL · 32' Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers · C. Nyondo
  19. 60′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 5–22–73
  20. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Silver Strikers win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
  21. 82′We said Silver Strikers at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  22. FTFULL TIME Silver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers
  23. FTSilver Strikers 0–1 Be Forward Wanderers · Silver Strikers win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Silver Strikers win45%
Draw30%
Be Forward Wanderers win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · silver strikers winPublished 10 Oct 13:47
45% The market39%
Us45%
Market39%

We make Silver Strikers a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:199 OCT 07:21
Our probability · silver strikers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Silver Strikers win45%39%+7
Draw30%31%−1
Be Forward Wanderers win25%30%−5
Over 2.5 goals35%38%−3
Both teams to score41%45%−5
Over 1.5 goals62%62%−1
Over 3.5 goals16%19%−3
Silver Strikers or draw75%70%+5
Silver Strikers clean sheet43%––
Be Forward Wanderers clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%
0123450 12.8 10.3 4.4 1 15.2 13.1 5.5 2 9.5 8.0 3.4 3 4.0 3.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Silver Strikers down, Be Forward Wanderers across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2020
Goals a meeting1.45
Over 2.52 of 11
Both scored3 of 11
Last meetingsBEF 0–0 SIL · SIL 2–2 BEF · BEF 1–1 SIL · BEF 0–1 SIL

Form · last six in Super League

SILVER STRIKERS

WDWWDL4–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 0–5

BE FORWARD WANDERERS

WDDWWL2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Blue Eagles15+831
2Nyasa Big Bullets15+1330
3Be Forward Wanderers15+1629
4Silver Strikers15+1329
5Masters FC15+122
6Moyale Barracks15−121
7Chitipa United15−521
8Mitundu Baptist15−120
9Red Lions15−120
10CIVO United15−420
11Ekhaya15+118
12Dedza Dynamos15−1015
13Karonga United15−914
14MAFCO15−513
15Kamuzu Barracks15−712
16Creck15−910

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.