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Red Lions v Ekhaya
Red Lions
EkhayaSuper League · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Red Lions win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Red Lions 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–32–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Red Lions v Ekhaya
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Red Lions win 33%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Red Lions 0–0 Ekhaya
- 46′SECOND HALF Red Lions 0–0 Ekhaya
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Red Lions win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 53′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–53–22
- 55′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–54–21
- 66′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–64–17
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Red Lions win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 74′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–12
- 81′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Red Lions win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 88′We said Red Lions at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Red Lions 0–0 Ekhaya
- FTRed Lions 0–0 Ekhaya · Red Lions win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Red Lions are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Red Lions 37%, draw 32%, Ekhaya 31%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Red Lions win37%
Ekhaya win31%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 17
Match timeline
All events
Red LionsMIN
EkhayaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Red Lions
Ekhaya
Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Malawi)
Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Malawi)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Red Lions a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Lions win | 37% | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – |
| Ekhaya win | 31% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 37% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | – | – |
| Red Lions or draw | 69% | – | – |
| Red Lions clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Ekhaya clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 25 July
RED LIONS
EKHAYA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Be Forward Wanderers | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | −3 | 24 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist | 17 | −1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ekhaya | 16 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 16 | −1 | 21 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 16 | −2 | 21 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 17 | −5 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 17 | −9 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | −8 | 17 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 16 | −7 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 17 | −9 | 13 |
| 16 | Creck | 17 | −9 | 13 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Be Forward Wanderers
Nyasa Big Bullets
Blue Eagles
Silver Strikers
Chitipa United
Masters FC
Mitundu Baptist
Moyale Barracks
CIVO United
Dedza Dynamos
Karonga United
MAFCO
Kamuzu Barracks
Creck