Nyasa Big Bullets v Blue Eagles prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Nyasa Big Bullets 2–0 Blue Eagles NYASA BIG BULLETS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nyasa Big Bullets win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.208

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Nyasa Big Bullets win at 63%.
1′Much as we predicted: Nyasa Big Bullets was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–23–14
1′KICK-OFF Nyasa Big Bullets v Blue Eagles
3′Much as we predicted: Nyasa Big Bullets was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–23–14
43′We said Nyasa Big Bullets at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–38–14
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Nyasa Big Bullets win: 63% at kick-off, 48% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Nyasa Big Bullets win: 63% at kick-off, 57% now
45′HALF-TIME Nyasa Big Bullets 0–0 Blue Eagles
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Nyasa Big Bullets win: 63% at kick-off, 48% now
46′SECOND HALF Nyasa Big Bullets 0–0 Blue Eagles
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Nyasa Big Bullets 1–0 Blue Eagles
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Nyasa Big Bullets 2–0 Blue Eagles
FTFULL TIME Nyasa Big Bullets 2–0 Blue Eagles
FTNyasa Big Bullets 2–0 Blue Eagles · Nyasa Big Bullets win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Nyasa Big Bullets win63%

Draw23%

Blue Eagles win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Nyasa Big Bullets

Blue Eagles

36Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Blue Eagles	15	+8	31
3	Nyasa Big Bullets	15	+13	30

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nyasa big bullets winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Nyasa Big Bullets a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nyasa Big Bullets win	63%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Blue Eagles win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Nyasa Big Bullets or draw	86%	–	–
Nyasa Big Bullets clean sheet	51%	–	–
Blue Eagles clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 9.1 5.8 2.0 1 15.4 10.5 3.5 2 13.5 9.0 3.0 3 7.9 5.3 4 3.5 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nyasa Big Bullets down, Blue Eagles across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,324 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.1% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

9 previous meetings, 1.22 goals a meeting; 1 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nyasa Big Bullets at home: 1.83 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Blue Eagles away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Nyasa Big Bullets, 0.67 for Blue Eagles. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~1.22

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~BLU 1–1 NYA · BLU 0–0 NYA · NYA 0–1 BLU · BLU 0–0 NYA

Form · last six in Super League

NYASA BIG BULLETS

DLWWDW0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 5–0

BLUE EAGLES

LWWLWW1–2 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Be Forward Wanderers	16	+17	32
2	Blue Eagles	15	+8	31
3	Nyasa Big Bullets	15	+13	30
4	Silver Strikers	16	+12	29
5	Chitipa United	16	−3	24
6	Masters FC	15	+1	22
7	Ekhaya	16	+3	21
8	Moyale Barracks	15	−1	21
9	Mitundu Baptist	16	−1	21
10	Red Lions	16	−1	21
11	CIVO United	15	−4	20
12	Dedza Dynamos	15	−10	15
13	Karonga United	15	−9	14
14	MAFCO	16	−7	13
15	Kamuzu Barracks	16	−9	12
16	Creck	15	−9	10