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Mitundu Baptist v Red Lions

Mitundu Baptist
1–1Full time
Red Lions

Super League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
Mitundu Baptist 1–1 Red Lions MITUNDU BAPTIST WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mitundu Baptist win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.734

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mitundu Baptist win at 47%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Mitundu Baptist v Red Lions
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Mitundu Baptist was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–32–22
  4. 42′We said Mitundu Baptist at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–46–18
  5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Mitundu Baptist win: 47% at kick-off, 35% now
  6. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Mitundu Baptist win 35%)
  7. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Mitundu Baptist 0–1 Red Lions
  8. 45′A goal for Red Lions on 43′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 9–25–66
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Mitundu Baptist 0–1 Red Lions
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Mitundu Baptist win: 47% at kick-off, 9% now
  11. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Red Lions win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 25%)
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Mitundu Baptist 0–1 Red Lions
  13. 57′⚽ GOAL · 42' Mitundu Baptist 1–1 Red Lions · S. Chintokoma
  14. 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Mitundu Baptist 1–1 Red Lions
  15. 62′56′ and it is 1–1: Mitundu Baptist have scored. 1–1 · 25–61–14
  16. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Mitundu Baptist win: 47% at kick-off, 25% now
  17. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Red Lions win 14%)
  18. 85′We said Mitundu Baptist at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 1–1 · 6–90–4
  19. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Mitundu Baptist win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
  20. FTFULL TIME Mitundu Baptist 1–1 Red Lions
  21. FTMitundu Baptist 1–1 Red Lions · Mitundu Baptist win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mitundu Baptist win47%
Draw31%
Red Lions win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mitundu baptist winPublished 10 Oct 13:47
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Mitundu Baptist a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mitundu Baptist win47%––
Draw31%––
Red Lions win22%––
Over 2.5 goals28%––
Both teams to score34%––
Over 1.5 goals55%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
Mitundu Baptist or draw78%––
Mitundu Baptist clean sheet50%––
Red Lions clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.0%
0123450 16.3 10.8 3.8 1 18.0 12.5 4.3 2 10.4 7.1 2.5 3 4.1 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mitundu Baptist down, Red Lions across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsRED 1–0 MIT

Form · last six in Super League

MITUNDU BAPTIST

WDWLDD1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

RED LIONS

LLDWLD0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Blue Eagles15+831
2Nyasa Big Bullets15+1330
3Be Forward Wanderers15+1629
4Silver Strikers15+1329
5Masters FC15+122
6Moyale Barracks15−121
7Chitipa United15−521
8Mitundu Baptist15−120
9Red Lions15−120
10CIVO United15−420
11Ekhaya15+118
12Dedza Dynamos15−1015
13Karonga United15−914
14MAFCO15−513
15Kamuzu Barracks15−712
16Creck15−910

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.