Masters FC v Nyasa Big Bullets prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Masters FCDrawNyasa Big Bullets

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Nyasa Big Bullets 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nyasa Big Bullets are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Masters FC 24%, draw 30%, Nyasa Big Bullets 46%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Masters FC v Nyasa Big BulletsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Masters FC win24%

Draw30%

Nyasa Big Bullets win46%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 19

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Masters FC

Nyasa Big Bullets

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nyasa big bullets winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Nyasa Big Bullets a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Masters FC v Nyasa Big Bullets~~0.81 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Super League this season · since 9 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 23 v 39~~8 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Masters FC win	24%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Nyasa Big Bullets win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Masters FC or draw	54%	–	–
Masters FC clean sheet	29%	–	–
Nyasa Big Bullets clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.6%

0123450 13.3 15.6 9.8 4.2 1 10.3 12.8 7.7 3.3 2 4.4 5.1 3.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Masters FC down, Nyasa Big Bullets across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,340 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.1% of games this season, across 140 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026/27 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Masters FC at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Nyasa Big Bullets away: 1.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.81 goals for Masters FC, 1.25 for Nyasa Big Bullets. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~NYA 1–0 MAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 9 Aug

MASTERS FC

WDLDLD1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

NYASA BIG BULLETS

WDWWWW1–0 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nyasa Big Bullets	18	+19	39
2	Be Forward Wanderers	17	+18	35
3	Blue Eagles	18	+8	34
4	Silver Strikers	18	+13	33
5	Ekhaya	18	+4	25
6	Mitundu Baptist	18	+1	25
7	Chitipa United	18	−6	25
8	Masters FC	17	0	23
9	Red Lions	17	−1	22
10	Moyale Barracks	17	−3	21
11	CIVO United	18	−6	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	−9	19
13	Karonga United	16	−8	17
14	Kamuzu Barracks	18	−9	14
15	Creck	17	−9	13
16	MAFCO	18	−12	13