Masters FC v Karonga United prediction · Super League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · abandoned

Masters FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Masters FC 48%, draw 29%, Karonga United 23%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Masters FC v Karonga UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · abandoned, not graded

Masters FC win48%

Draw29%

Karonga United win23%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Masters FC

Karonga United

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Masters FC	16	0	22
13	Karonga United	16	−8	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · masters fc winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · abandoned, not graded

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Masters FC a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Masters FC v Karonga United~~1.31 – 0.82

~~Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 July~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 17~~6 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Masters FC win

Published at 49%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Masters FC win	48%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Karonga United win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Masters FC or draw	77%	–	–
Masters FC clean sheet	44%	–	–
Karonga United clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 12.4 9.7 4.1 1 15.4 12.6 5.1 2 10.2 8.1 3.3 3 4.5 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Masters FC down, Karonga United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,331 Super League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.1% of games this season, across 131 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026/27 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Masters FC at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Karonga United away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Masters FC, 0.82 for Karonga United. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KAR 1–2 MAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 July

MASTERS FC

DWDLDL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

KARONGA UNITED

WLLDDW2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Be Forward Wanderers	17	+18	35
2	Nyasa Big Bullets	16	+15	33
3	Blue Eagles	16	+6	31
4	Silver Strikers	16	+12	29
5	Chitipa United	16	−3	24
6	Masters FC	16	0	22
7	Mitundu Baptist	17	−1	22
8	Ekhaya	16	+3	21
9	Red Lions	16	−1	21
10	Moyale Barracks	16	−2	21
11	CIVO United	17	−5	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	−9	19
13	Karonga United	16	−8	17
14	MAFCO	16	−7	13
15	Kamuzu Barracks	17	−9	13
16	Creck	17	−9	13