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Ekhaya v Kamuzu Barracks

Ekhaya
2–0Full time
Kamuzu Barracks

Super League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
Ekhaya 2–0 Kamuzu Barracks EKHAYA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ekhaya win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.382

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ekhaya win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ekhaya was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ekhaya v Kamuzu Barracks
  4. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' Ekhaya 1–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  5. 20′18′ and it is 1–0: Ekhaya have scored. 1–0 · 79–16–5
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Ekhaya win: 50% at kick-off, 79% now
  7. 41′We published Ekhaya at 50%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–3
  8. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Ekhaya win: 50% at kick-off, 81% now
  9. 45′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 82–15–3
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Ekhaya 1–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Ekhaya 1–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  12. 49′⚽ GOAL · 18' Ekhaya 1–0 Kamuzu Barracks · A. Chihana
  13. 78′We published Ekhaya at 50%. Our model now makes it 92%. 1–0 · 92–8–0
  14. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Ekhaya win: 50% at kick-off, 92% now
  15. FTFULL TIME Ekhaya 2–0 Kamuzu Barracks
  16. FTEkhaya 2–0 Kamuzu Barracks · Ekhaya win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ekhaya win50%
Draw29%
Kamuzu Barracks win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ekhaya winPublished 10 Oct 13:47
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Ekhaya a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ekhaya win50%––
Draw29%––
Kamuzu Barracks win21%––
Over 2.5 goals34%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals61%––
Over 3.5 goals16%––
Ekhaya or draw79%––
Ekhaya clean sheet47%––
Kamuzu Barracks clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%
0123450 12.9 9.4 3.6 1 16.3 12.5 4.7 2 10.8 8.1 3.1 3 4.8 3.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ekhaya down, Kamuzu Barracks across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsKAM 1–4 EKH · EKH 3–0 KAM · KAM 1–0 EKH

Form · last six in Super League

EKHAYA

DLDLLD0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–0

KAMUZU BARRACKS

WWDLDL2–1 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Blue Eagles15+831
2Nyasa Big Bullets15+1330
3Be Forward Wanderers15+1629
4Silver Strikers15+1329
5Masters FC15+122
6Moyale Barracks15−121
7Chitipa United15−521
8Mitundu Baptist15−120
9Red Lions15−120
10CIVO United15−420
11Ekhaya15+118
12Dedza Dynamos15−1015
13Karonga United15−914
14MAFCO15−513
15Kamuzu Barracks15−712
16Creck15−910

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.