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Ekhaya v Blue Eagles

Ekhaya
2–1Full time
Blue Eagles

Super League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 16:32
Ekhaya 2–1 Blue Eagles EKHAYA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ekhaya win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.491

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ekhaya win at 43%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ekhaya was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ekhaya v Blue Eagles
  4. 21′Ekhaya find the net on 21′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–7
  5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Ekhaya 1–0 Blue Eagles
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Ekhaya win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 22′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–7
  8. 25′Ekhaya ahead on 20′ through J. Mchema. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  9. 26′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–6
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Ekhaya 1–0 Blue Eagles
  12. 45′SECOND HALF Ekhaya 1–0 Blue Eagles
  13. 53′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  14. 61′We said Ekhaya at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–57–18
  15. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Ekhaya 1–1 Blue Eagles
  16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Ekhaya win: 43% at kick-off, 25% now
  17. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Ekhaya win 82%)
  18. 62′A goal for Blue Eagles on 61′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 25–58–18
  19. 63′We said Ekhaya at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
  20. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Ekhaya win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  21. 70′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  22. 70′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  23. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Ekhaya 2–1 Blue Eagles
  24. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Ekhaya win: 43% at kick-off, 86% now
  25. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Ekhaya win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 66%)
  26. 71′Ekhaya score on 71′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 86–12–1
  27. 77′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  28. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Ekhaya win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  29. 84′We published Ekhaya at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  30. 90′Full time, 2–1. We called Ekhaya at 43% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
  31. FTFULL TIME Ekhaya 2–1 Blue Eagles
  32. FTEkhaya 2–1 Blue Eagles · Ekhaya win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ekhaya are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ekhaya 43%, draw 30%, Blue Eagles 27%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Ekhaya v Blue EaglesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ekhaya win43%
Draw30%
Blue Eagles win27%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 18

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ekhaya

Blue Eagles

5Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Blue Eagles17+934
6Ekhaya17+322

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ekhaya winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Ekhaya a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ekhaya v Blue Eagles1.20 – 0.90
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 AugW1 D3 L2 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 22 v 346 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ekhaya win43%––
Draw30%––
Blue Eagles win27%––
Over 2.5 goals35%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals62%––
Over 3.5 goals16%––
Ekhaya or draw73%––
Ekhaya clean sheet41%––
Blue Eagles clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.5%
0123450 12.7 10.9 5.0 1 14.5 13.2 5.8 2 8.8 7.8 3.5 3 3.6 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ekhaya down, Blue Eagles across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsBLU 2–1 EKH · EKH 1–2 BLU · BLU 0–0 EKH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 Aug

EKHAYA

DLLDWD1–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–0

BLUE EAGLES

WLWWLW1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nyasa Big Bullets17+1836
2Be Forward Wanderers17+1835
3Blue Eagles17+934
4Silver Strikers17+1332
5Chitipa United17−624
6Ekhaya17+322
7Masters FC16022
8Mitundu Baptist17−122
9Red Lions17−122
10Moyale Barracks17−321
11CIVO United17−521
12Dedza Dynamos17−919
13Karonga United16−817
14Kamuzu Barracks17−913
15Creck17−913
16MAFCO17−1013

The competition's standings before kick-off.