Dedza Dynamos v Moyale Barracks prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dedza DynamosDrawMoyale Barracks

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dedza Dynamos 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dedza Dynamos are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dedza Dynamos 42%, draw 31%, Moyale Barracks 27%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Dedza Dynamos v Moyale BarracksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Dedza Dynamos win42%

Draw31%

Moyale Barracks win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 18

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dedza Dynamos

Moyale Barracks

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Moyale Barracks	17	−3	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	−9	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dedza dynamos winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Dedza Dynamos a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dedza Dynamos v Moyale Barracks~~1.15 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 Aug~~W1 D5 L0 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 21~~12 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dedza Dynamos win	42%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Moyale Barracks win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Dedza Dynamos or draw	73%	–	–
Dedza Dynamos clean sheet	43%	–	–
Moyale Barracks clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%

0123450 13.9 11.3 5.0 1 15.2 13.3 5.6 2 8.9 7.5 3.2 3 3.4 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dedza Dynamos down, Moyale Barracks across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,340 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.1% of games this season, across 140 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 1.56 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dedza Dynamos at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Moyale Barracks away: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Dedza Dynamos, 0.85 for Moyale Barracks. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.56

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~MOY 0–0 DED · DED 0–0 MOY · MOY 3–1 DED · DED 1–0 MOY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 8 Aug

DEDZA DYNAMOS

DDDDWD1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

MOYALE BARRACKS

DLDWLL1–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nyasa Big Bullets	18	+19	39
2	Be Forward Wanderers	17	+18	35
3	Blue Eagles	18	+8	34
4	Silver Strikers	18	+13	33
5	Ekhaya	18	+4	25
6	Mitundu Baptist	18	+1	25
7	Chitipa United	18	−6	25
8	Masters FC	17	0	23
9	Red Lions	17	−1	22
10	Moyale Barracks	17	−3	21
11	CIVO United	18	−6	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	−9	19
13	Karonga United	16	−8	17
14	Kamuzu Barracks	18	−9	14
15	Creck	17	−9	13
16	MAFCO	18	−12	13