Dedza Dynamos v Masters FC prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Dedza Dynamos 1–0 Masters FC DEDZA DYNAMOS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Dedza Dynamos win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.517

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dedza Dynamos win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Dedza Dynamos 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
1′KICK-OFF Dedza Dynamos v Masters FC
4′Little has changed for our model: Dedza Dynamos 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
20′PENALTY MISSED · 20' Dedza Dynamos
22′Dedza Dynamos find the net on 20′. 0–0. 0–0 · 38–36–26
24′Dedza Dynamos find the net on 20′. 0–0. 0–0 · 37–37–26
43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Dedza Dynamos win 32%)
45′HALF-TIME Dedza Dynamos 0–0 Masters FC
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Dedza Dynamos win 32%)
46′SECOND HALF Dedza Dynamos 0–0 Masters FC
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Dedza Dynamos 1–0 Masters FC
FTFULL TIME Dedza Dynamos 1–0 Masters FC
FTDedza Dynamos 1–0 Masters FC · Dedza Dynamos win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Dedza Dynamos win41%

Draw31%

Masters FC win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Dedza Dynamos

Masters FC

32Days since last match36

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Masters FC	15	+1	22
12	Dedza Dynamos	15	−10	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dedza dynamos winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Dedza Dynamos a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dedza Dynamos win	41%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Masters FC win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Dedza Dynamos or draw	72%	–	–
Dedza Dynamos clean sheet	42%	–	–
Masters FC clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%

0123450 13.8 11.6 5.2 1 14.9 13.2 5.7 2 8.6 7.4 3.2 3 3.3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dedza Dynamos down, Masters FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,324 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.1% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dedza Dynamos at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Masters FC away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Dedza Dynamos, 0.88 for Masters FC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~MAS 4–0 DED

Form · last six in Super League

DEDZA DYNAMOS

LWDDDD1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

MASTERS FC

DDWDLD2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Be Forward Wanderers	16	+17	32
2	Blue Eagles	15	+8	31
3	Nyasa Big Bullets	15	+13	30
4	Silver Strikers	16	+12	29
5	Chitipa United	16	−3	24
6	Masters FC	15	+1	22
7	Ekhaya	16	+3	21
8	Moyale Barracks	15	−1	21
9	Mitundu Baptist	16	−1	21
10	Red Lions	16	−1	21
11	CIVO United	15	−4	20
12	Dedza Dynamos	15	−10	15
13	Karonga United	15	−9	14
14	MAFCO	16	−7	13
15	Kamuzu Barracks	16	−9	12
16	Creck	15	−9	10