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CIVO United v Dedza Dynamos

CIVO United
1–1Full time
Dedza Dynamos

Super League · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
CIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos CIVO UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said CIVO United win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CIVO United win at 56%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: CIVO United was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–29–16
  3. 1′KICK-OFF CIVO United v Dedza Dynamos
  4. 25′A goal for Dedza Dynamos on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–29–51
  5. 25′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–51
  6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' CIVO United 0–1 Dedza Dynamos
  7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 19% now
  8. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Dedza Dynamos win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was CIVO United win 19%)
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–29–53
  10. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
  11. 39′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
  12. 44′CIVO United score on 44′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 41–45–14
  13. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' CIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos
  14. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 41% now
  15. 45′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–46–14
  16. 45′44′: K. Mhone on the scoresheet for CIVO United, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 40–46–14
  17. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Dedza Dynamos win 14%)
  18. 45′HALF-TIME CIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos
  19. 47′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–47–14
  20. 47′SECOND HALF CIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos
  21. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
  22. 56′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–53–12
  23. 63′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–60–11
  24. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
  25. 69′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–66–9
  26. 74′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 1–1 · 20–72–8
  27. 75′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–74–7
  28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
  29. 79′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–80–6
  30. 84′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–88–3
  31. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' CIVO United win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
  32. 90′We said CIVO United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
  33. FTFULL TIME CIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos
  34. FTCIVO United 1–1 Dedza Dynamos · CIVO United win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CIVO United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CIVO United 56%, draw 28%, Dedza Dynamos 16%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on CIVO United v Dedza DynamosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

CIVO United win56%
Draw28%
Dedza Dynamos win16%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CIVO United

Dedza Dynamos

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11CIVO United16−520
12Dedza Dynamos16−918

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · civo united winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make CIVO United a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · CIVO United v Dedza Dynamos1.37 – 0.59
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 25 JulyW3 D0 L3 · W2 D4 L0
Table places · points 20 v 1811 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 13:27
Our probability · CIVO United win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
CIVO United win56%––
Draw28%––
Dedza Dynamos win16%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score33%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals14%––
CIVO United or draw84%––
CIVO United clean sheet56%––
Dedza Dynamos clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.2%
0123450 14.4 8.2 2.4 1 19.2 11.4 3.3 2 13.2 7.7 2.3 3 6.1 3.5 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+CIVO United down, Dedza Dynamos across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.54 of 9
Both scored2 of 9
Last meetingsDED 0–1 CIV · CIV 0–0 DED · DED 1–0 CIV · DED 0–1 CIV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 25 July

CIVO UNITED

LLWWWL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

DEDZA DYNAMOS

WDDDDW1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nyasa Big Bullets16+1533
2Be Forward Wanderers16+1732
3Blue Eagles16+631
4Silver Strikers16+1229
5Chitipa United16−324
6Masters FC16022
7Mitundu Baptist17−122
8Ekhaya16+321
9Red Lions16−121
10Moyale Barracks16−221
11CIVO United16−520
12Dedza Dynamos16−918
13Karonga United16−817
14MAFCO16−713
15Creck16−813
16Kamuzu Barracks17−913

The competition's standings before kick-off.