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Chitipa United v Masters FC

Chitipa United
0–0Full time
Masters FC

Super League · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Chitipa United 0–0 Masters FC CHITIPA UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Chitipa United win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.736

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chitipa United win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chitipa United 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–31–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Chitipa United v Masters FC
  4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Chitipa United win 38%)
  5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Chitipa United win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Chitipa United 0–0 Masters FC
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Chitipa United 0–0 Masters FC
  8. 47′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–48–21
  9. 52′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–20
  10. 62′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
  11. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Chitipa United win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  12. 70′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
  13. 77′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
  14. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Chitipa United win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  15. 82′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
  16. 89′We said Chitipa United at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
  17. 89′Masters FC are down to ten from 89′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 4–93–3
  18. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 89' Masters FC
  19. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Chitipa United win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  20. FTFULL TIME Chitipa United 0–0 Masters FC
  21. FTChitipa United 0–0 Masters FC · Chitipa United win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chitipa United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chitipa United 43%, draw 31%, Masters FC 27%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Chitipa United v Masters FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Chitipa United win43%
Draw31%
Masters FC win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 18

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chitipa United

Masters FC

6Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Chitipa United17−624
7Masters FC16022

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chitipa united winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Chitipa United a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chitipa United v Masters FC1.16 – 0.85
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 JulyW2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 24 v 226 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:34
Our probability · Chitipa United win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chitipa United win43%––
Draw31%––
Masters FC win27%––
Over 2.5 goals32%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals59%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Chitipa United or draw73%––
Chitipa United clean sheet43%––
Masters FC clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%
0123450 13.9 11.3 4.9 1 15.4 13.1 5.5 2 9.0 7.5 3.2 3 3.5 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chitipa United down, Masters FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsMAS 1–0 CHI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 July

CHITIPA UNITED

LWDDWL0–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–3

MASTERS FC

DWDLDL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nyasa Big Bullets17+1836
2Be Forward Wanderers17+1835
3Blue Eagles18+834
4Silver Strikers17+1332
5Ekhaya18+425
6Chitipa United17−624
7Masters FC16022
8Mitundu Baptist17−122
9Red Lions17−122
10Moyale Barracks17−321
11CIVO United17−521
12Dedza Dynamos17−919
13Karonga United16−817
14Kamuzu Barracks17−913
15Creck17−913
16MAFCO17−1013

The competition's standings before kick-off.