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Be Forward Wanderers v Creck

Be Forward Wanderers
1–0Full time
Creck

Super League · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Be Forward Wanderers 1–0 Creck BE FORWARD WANDERERS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Be Forward Wanderers win71%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.135

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Be Forward Wanderers win at 71%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Be Forward Wanderers 71% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 70–20–9
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Be Forward Wanderers v Creck
  4. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Be Forward Wanderers win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
  5. 33′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–31–10
  6. 42′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–35–10
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Be Forward Wanderers 0–0 Creck
  8. 46′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 52–38–10
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Be Forward Wanderers 0–0 Creck
  10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Be Forward Wanderers win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
  11. 50′Creck are down to ten from 50′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 50–41–10
  12. 50′🟥 RED CARD · 50' Creck
  13. 51′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–41–10
  14. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 46–45–10
  15. 57′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–46–9
  16. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Be Forward Wanderers win 43%)
  17. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Be Forward Wanderers win: 71% at kick-off, 41% now
  18. 63′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–52–9
  19. 68′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–58–8
  20. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Be Forward Wanderers win: 71% at kick-off, 31% now
  21. 72′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–64–7
  22. 76′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–70–6
  23. 76′A goal for Be Forward Wanderers on 76′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
  24. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Be Forward Wanderers 1–0 Creck
  25. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Be Forward Wanderers win: 71% at kick-off, 94% now
  26. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Be Forward Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
  27. 77′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 1–0 · 94–5–0
  28. 78′We said Be Forward Wanderers at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  29. FTFULL TIME Be Forward Wanderers 1–0 Creck
  30. FTBe Forward Wanderers 1–0 Creck · Be Forward Wanderers win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Be Forward Wanderers are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Be Forward Wanderers 71%, draw 20%, Creck 9%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Be Forward Wanderers v CreckBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Be Forward Wanderers win71%
Draw20%
Creck win9%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Be Forward Wanderers

Creck

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League (Malawi)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Be Forward Wanderers16+1732
15Creck16−813

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · be forward wanderers winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
71% The market–
Us71%

We make Be Forward Wanderers a 71% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Be Forward Wanderers v Creck1.94 – 0.54
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 JulyW3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 32 v 132 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Be Forward Wanderers win71%––
Draw20%––
Creck win9%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Be Forward Wanderers or draw91%––
Be Forward Wanderers clean sheet59%––
Creck clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%
0123450 8.7 4.5 1 16.3 8.8 2.3 2 15.7 8.3 2.2 3 10.2 5.4 4 5.0 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Be Forward Wanderers down, Creck across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.80
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsCRE 1–2 BEF · BEF 0–0 CRE · CRE 0–1 BEF · CRE 1–1 BEF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 26 July

BE FORWARD WANDERERS

DDWWLW1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

CRECK

LLDWDW1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nyasa Big Bullets16+1533
2Be Forward Wanderers16+1732
3Blue Eagles16+631
4Silver Strikers16+1229
5Chitipa United16−324
6Masters FC16022
7Mitundu Baptist17−122
8Ekhaya16+321
9Red Lions16−121
10Moyale Barracks16−221
11CIVO United16−520
12Dedza Dynamos16−918
13Karonga United16−817
14MAFCO16−713
15Creck16−813
16Kamuzu Barracks17−913

The competition's standings before kick-off.