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Model 1.2

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Teteks v Detonit Plachkovica

Teteks
2–0Full time
Detonit Plachkovica

Second League · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Teteks 2–0 Detonit Plachkovica TETEKS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Teteks win51%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.365
The market’s Brier score0.491

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Teteks are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Teteks 51%, draw 22%, Detonit Plachkovica 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Teteks v Detonit PlachkovicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Teteks win51%
Draw22%
Detonit Plachkovica win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teteks

Detonit Plachkovica

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Teteks7+19
9Detonit Plachkovica7−28

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · teteks winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market43%
Us51%
Market43%

We make Teteks a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Teteks v Detonit Plachkovica1.85 – 1.24
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 30 AugW2 D2 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 9 v 88 v 9
The market · Teteks win43% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 12:53
Our probability · Teteks win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Teteks win51%43%+8
Draw22%27%−5
Detonit Plachkovica win27%30%−3
Over 2.5 goals58%46%+12
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals37%––
Teteks or draw73%70%+3
Teteks clean sheet30%––
Detonit Plachkovica clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%
0123450 5.0 6.7 3.9 1 9.0 9.9 6.3 2.7 2 7.4 8.7 5.3 2.3 3 4.6 5.2 3.2 4 2.3 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Teteks down, Detonit Plachkovica across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.17
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsDET 2–1 TET · TET 3–2 DET · DET 2–0 TET · TET 4–0 DET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 30 Aug

TETEKS

WLDDLW3–1 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 4–1

DETONIT PLACHKOVICA

DWLLLD1–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ohrid7+1016
2Pelister7+815
3FK Rabotnicki6+815
4Akademija Pandev6+1114
5Belasica7+211
6Makedonija GjP7010
7Kamjani7−310
8Teteks7+19
9Detonit Plachkovica7−28
10Kozuv Gevgelija7−58
11Novaci7−37
12Gorno Lisiče7−15
13Osogovo7−43
14Shkupi 19277−220

The competition's standings before kick-off.