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Pelister v Osogovo
PelisterOsogovoSecond League · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassPelister are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Pelister 61%, draw 25%, Osogovo 14%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 30%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Pelister win61%Osogovo win14%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 8
Match timeline
All events
PelisterMINOsogovoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pelister
Osogovo
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pelister | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 13 | Osogovo | 7 | −4 | 3 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pelister a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 62%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pelister win | 61% | 71% | −10 |
| Draw | 25% | 18% | +7 |
| Osogovo win | 14% | 11% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 59% | −24 |
| Both teams to score | 30% | 45% | −15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 80% | −20 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 40% | −23 |
| Pelister or draw | 86% | 89% | −3 |
| Pelister clean sheet | 60% | – | – |
| Osogovo clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 22 Aug
PELISTER
OSOGOVO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohrid | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Pelister | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  FK Rabotnicki | 6 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 |  Akademija Pandev | 6 | +11 | 14 |
| 5 |  Belasica | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 |  Makedonija GjP | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 |  Kamjani | 7 | −3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Teteks | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Detonit Plachkovica | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kozuv Gevgelija | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Novaci | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Gorno Lisiče | 7 | −1 | 5 |
| 13 | Osogovo | 7 | −4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Shkupi 1927 | 7 | −22 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.