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Osogovo v Gorno Lisiče

Osogovo

1–1Full time

Gorno Lisiče

Second League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:52

Osogovo 1–1 Gorno Lisiče OSOGOVO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Osogovo win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.787

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Osogovo win45%

Draw28%

Gorno Lisiče win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · osogovo winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Osogovo a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Osogovo win	45%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Gorno Lisiče win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Osogovo or draw	73%	–	–
Osogovo clean sheet	43%	–	–
Gorno Lisiče clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%

0123450 12.8 11.1 4.7 1 15.2 11.7 5.4 2 9.0 7.5 3.3 3 3.9 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Osogovo down, Gorno Lisiče across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 Second League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.6% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Osogovo at home: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Gorno Lisiče away: 0.75 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Osogovo, 0.88 for Gorno Lisiče. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second League

OSOGOVO

LLDLLD0–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

GORNO LISIČE

LLLWLD0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	6	+10	15
2	Pelister	6	+8	14
3	Akademija Pandev	5	+11	13
4	FK Rabotnicki	5	+4	12
5	Belasica	6	+2	10
6	Kamjani	6	+1	10
7	Novaci	6	0	7
8	Makedonija GjP	6	−1	7
9	Detonit Plachkovica	6	−2	7
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	6	−5	7
11	Teteks	6	−2	6
12	Gorno Lisiče	6	−1	4
13	Osogovo	6	−4	2
14	Shkupi 1927	6	−21	0