Home › Football › Second League › Ohrid v Akademija Pandev

Ohrid v Akademija Pandev

Ohrid

2–2Full time

Akademija Pandev

Second League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Ohrid 2–2 Akademija Pandev OHRID WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ohrid win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.962

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ohrid win56%

Draw22%

Akademija Pandev win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ohrid winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Ohrid a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ohrid win	56%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Akademija Pandev win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Ohrid or draw	79%	–	–
Ohrid clean sheet	40%	–	–
Akademija Pandev clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.2%

0123450 7.2 7.1 3.2 1 12.2 10.1 5.0 2 9.8 8.8 4.2 3 5.9 5.2 2.5 4 2.8 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ohrid down, Akademija Pandev across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 Second League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.6% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Ohrid at home: 4.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Akademija Pandev away: 0.00 scored, 0.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Ohrid, 0.95 for Akademija Pandev. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second League

OHRID

WWWWLW2–1 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

AKADEMIJA PANDEV

WDWWW2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 7–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	6	+10	15
2	Pelister	6	+8	14
3	Akademija Pandev	5	+11	13
4	FK Rabotnicki	5	+4	12
5	Belasica	6	+2	10
6	Kamjani	6	+1	10
7	Novaci	6	0	7
8	Makedonija GjP	6	−1	7
9	Detonit Plachkovica	6	−2	7
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	6	−5	7
11	Teteks	6	−2	6
12	Gorno Lisiče	6	−1	4
13	Osogovo	6	−4	2
14	Shkupi 1927	6	−21	0