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Novaci v Teteks

Novaci

1–4Full time

Teteks

Second League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Novaci 1–4 Teteks NOVACI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Novaci win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.801

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Novaci win48%

Draw24%

Teteks win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · novaci winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Novaci a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Novaci win	48%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Teteks win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Novaci or draw	72%	–	–
Novaci clean sheet	33%	–	–
Teteks clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.8%

0123450 6.7 8.1 4.4 1 10.8 10.8 6.4 2.5 2 8.1 8.7 5.0 3 4.4 4.7 2.7 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Novaci down, Teteks across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 Second League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.6% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Novaci at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Teteks away: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Novaci, 1.15 for Teteks. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~TET 2–1 NOV · NOV 1–0 TET · NOV 1–1 TET · TET 0–2 NOV

Form · last six in Second League

NOVACI

LLDLWW1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0

TETEKS

DWLDDL1–1 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	6	+10	15
2	Pelister	6	+8	14
3	Akademija Pandev	5	+11	13
4	FK Rabotnicki	5	+4	12
5	Belasica	6	+2	10
6	Kamjani	6	+1	10
7	Novaci	6	0	7
8	Makedonija GjP	6	−1	7
9	Detonit Plachkovica	6	−2	7
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	6	−5	7
11	Teteks	6	−2	6
12	Gorno Lisiče	6	−1	4
13	Osogovo	6	−4	2
14	Shkupi 1927	6	−21	0