Makedonija GjP v Ohrid prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Makedonija GjP 0–2 Ohrid OHRID WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ohrid win~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.638

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Ohrid just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Makedonija GjP 32%, draw 33%, Ohrid 35%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Makedonija GjP v OhridBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Makedonija GjP win32%

Draw33%

Ohrid win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Makedonija GjP

Ohrid

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ohrid winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

35% The market–

Us35%

We make Ohrid a 35% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Makedonija GjP v Ohrid~~0.85 – 0.91

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 16~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Makedonija GjP win	32%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Ohrid win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	51%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Makedonija GjP or draw	65%	–	–
Makedonija GjP clean sheet	42%	–	–
Ohrid clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.8%

0123450 18.8 15.7 6.9 2.2 1 14.6 11.6 5.6 2 6.1 5.4 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Makedonija GjP down, Ohrid across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,281 Second League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Makedonija GjP at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Ohrid away: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.85 goals for Makedonija GjP, 0.91 for Ohrid. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~OHR 0–1 MAK · MAK 2–0 OHR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 22 Aug

MAKEDONIJA GJP

WLLWLW1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

OHRID

WWWLWD5–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	7	+10	16
2	Pelister	7	+8	15
3	FK Rabotnicki	6	+8	15
4	Akademija Pandev	6	+11	14
5	Belasica	7	+2	11
6	Makedonija GjP	7	0	10
7	Kamjani	7	−3	10
8	Teteks	7	+1	9
9	Detonit Plachkovica	7	−2	8
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	−5	8
11	Novaci	7	−3	7
12	Gorno Lisiče	7	−1	5
13	Osogovo	7	−4	3
14	Shkupi 1927	7	−22	0