Kamjani v Kozuv Gevgelija prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 03:22

Kamjani 1–1 Kozuv Gevgelija KAMJANI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kamjani win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.854

Corrected on 20 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 0–0; the score is now 1–1 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kamjani are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kamjani 45%, draw 25%, Kozuv Gevgelija 30%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Kamjani v Kozuv GevgelijaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kamjani win45%

Draw25%

Kozuv Gevgelija win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kamjani

Kozuv Gevgelija

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Kamjani	7	−3	10
11	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kamjani winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Kamjani a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kamjani v Kozuv Gevgelija~~1.47 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kamjani win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Kamjani or draw	70%	–	–
Kamjani clean sheet	34%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.5%

0123450 8.2 9.3 4.9 1 11.5 11.3 6.5 2.5 2 7.8 8.1 4.5 3 3.9 4.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kamjani down, Kozuv Gevgelija across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,286 Second League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.7% of games this season, across 53 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Kamjani at home: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 3). Kozuv Gevgelija away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Kamjani, 1.13 for Kozuv Gevgelija. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 22 Aug

KAMJANI

WLWLWL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–5

KOZUV GEVGELIJA

WLDWLD2–0 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	8	+12	19
2	FK Rabotnicki	7	+12	18
3	Pelister	8	+11	18
4	Akademija Pandev	6	+11	14
5	Teteks	8	+3	12
6	Belasica	7	+2	11
7	Makedonija GjP	8	−2	10
8	Kamjani	7	−3	10
9	Novaci	8	−3	8
10	Detonit Plachkovica	8	−4	8
11	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	−5	8
12	Gorno Lisiče	8	−1	6
13	Osogovo	8	−7	3
14	Shkupi 1927	8	−26	0