Gorno Lisiče v Kozuv Gevgelija prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Gorno LisičeDrawKozuv Gevgelija

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Gorno Lisiče 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gorno Lisiče are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gorno Lisiče 42%, draw 29%, Kozuv Gevgelija 28%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Gorno Lisiče v Kozuv GevgelijaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Gorno Lisiče win42%

Draw29%

Kozuv Gevgelija win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gorno Lisiče

Kozuv Gevgelija

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Kozuv Gevgelija	9	−5	10
12	Gorno Lisiče	9	−1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gorno lisiče winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Gorno Lisiče a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gorno Lisiče v Kozuv Gevgelija~~1.17 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D4 L1 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 10~~12 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gorno Lisiče win	42%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Gorno Lisiče or draw	72%	–	–
Gorno Lisiče clean sheet	42%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.0%

0123450 13.5 11.7 5.1 1 15.0 12.2 5.6 2 8.5 7.2 3.2 3 3.5 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gorno Lisiče down, Kozuv Gevgelija across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,295 Second League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.5% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Gorno Lisiče at home: 1.00 scored, 0.25 conceded a game (last 4). Kozuv Gevgelija away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Gorno Lisiče, 0.89 for Kozuv Gevgelija. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 5 Sept

GORNO LISIČE

WLDDDD4–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

KOZUV GEVGELIJA

DWLDDD2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	9	+13	22
2	Pelister	9	+13	21
3	FK Rabotnicki	8	+11	18
4	Akademija Pandev	8	+9	15
5	Kamjani	9	−1	14
6	Teteks	9	+3	13
7	Belasica	9	+2	13
8	Makedonija GjP	9	−2	11
9	Kozuv Gevgelija	9	−5	10
10	Detonit Plachkovica	9	−4	9
11	Novaci	9	−5	8
12	Gorno Lisiče	9	−1	7
13	Osogovo	9	−5	6
14	Shkupi 1927	9	−28	0