FK Rabotnicki v Shkupi 1927 prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

FK Rabotnicki 4–0 Shkupi 1927 FK RABOTNICKI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FK Rabotnicki win~~86%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.029

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FK Rabotnicki are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FK Rabotnicki 86%, draw 9%, Shkupi 1927 5%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on FK Rabotnicki v Shkupi 1927Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FK Rabotnicki win86%

Draw9%

Shkupi 1927 win5%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FK Rabotnicki

Shkupi 1927

3Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · Cup (Macedonia)

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	FK Rabotnicki	6	+8	15
14	Shkupi 1927	7	−22	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fk rabotnicki winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

86% The market–

Us86%

We make FK Rabotnicki an 86% chance to win. The model expects 3.9–0.6, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FK Rabotnicki v Shkupi 1927~~3.92 – 0.61

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 15 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 15 v 0~~3 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FK Rabotnicki win	86%	–	–
Draw	9%	–	–
Shkupi 1927 win	5%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
FK Rabotnicki or draw	95%	–	–
FK Rabotnicki clean sheet	56%	–	–
Shkupi 1927 clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.6%

0123450 2.1 1 6.7 4.0 2 9.3 5.9 2.0 3 9.6 5.7 4 8.0 4.5 5 6.0 3.1

under 2% 5% 12%+FK Rabotnicki down, Shkupi 1927 across0–5 goals a side shown (77.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,281 Second League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FK Rabotnicki at home: 3.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 3). Shkupi 1927 away: 0.00 scored, 4.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

3.92 goals for FK Rabotnicki, 0.61 for Shkupi 1927. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SHK 0–7 FKR · FKR 3–0 SHK · SHK 1–1 FKR · SHK 0–0 FKR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 15 Aug

FK RABOTNICKI

WWLWWW3–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 5–1

SHKUPI 1927

LLLLLL0–2 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 0–7 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	7	+10	16
2	Pelister	7	+8	15
3	FK Rabotnicki	6	+8	15
4	Akademija Pandev	6	+11	14
5	Belasica	7	+2	11
6	Makedonija GjP	7	0	10
7	Kamjani	7	−3	10
8	Teteks	7	+1	9
9	Detonit Plachkovica	7	−2	8
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	−5	8
11	Novaci	7	−3	7
12	Gorno Lisiče	7	−1	5
13	Osogovo	7	−4	3
14	Shkupi 1927	7	−22	0