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Detonit Plachkovica v Kozuv Gevgelija

Detonit Plachkovica

1–1Full time

Kozuv Gevgelija

Second League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Detonit Plachkovica 1–1 Kozuv Gevgelija DETONIT PLACHKOVICA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Detonit Plachkovica win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.870

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Detonit Plachkovica win49%

Draw25%

Kozuv Gevgelija win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · detonit plachkovica winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Detonit Plachkovica a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Detonit Plachkovica win	49%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Detonit Plachkovica or draw	74%	–	–
Detonit Plachkovica clean sheet	38%	–	–
Kozuv Gevgelija clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%

0123450 8.7 9.0 4.2 1 13.0 11.3 5.8 2.0 2 9.0 8.4 4.2 3 4.6 4.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Detonit Plachkovica down, Kozuv Gevgelija across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,274 Second League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.6% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 1.38 goals a meeting; 1 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Detonit Plachkovica at home: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kozuv Gevgelija away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Detonit Plachkovica, 1.00 for Kozuv Gevgelija. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~1.38

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 8

~~Both scored~~2 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DET 3–2 KOZ · KOZ 0–0 DET · DET 1–1 KOZ · KOZ 0–0 DET

Form · last six in Second League

DETONIT PLACHKOVICA

WDWLLL2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–2

KOZUV GEVGELIJA

LWLDWL0–3 · 2–0 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	6	+10	15
2	Pelister	6	+8	14
3	Akademija Pandev	5	+11	13
4	FK Rabotnicki	5	+4	12
5	Belasica	6	+2	10
6	Kamjani	6	+1	10
7	Novaci	6	0	7
8	Makedonija GjP	6	−1	7
9	Detonit Plachkovica	6	−2	7
10	Kozuv Gevgelija	6	−5	7
11	Teteks	6	−2	6
12	Gorno Lisiče	6	−1	4
13	Osogovo	6	−4	2
14	Shkupi 1927	6	−21	0