Akademija Pandev v Belasica prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 19:31

Akademija Pandev 0–0 Belasica AKADEMIJA PANDEV WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Akademija Pandev win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.845

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Akademija Pandev are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Akademija Pandev 49%, draw 26%, Belasica 24%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Akademija Pandev v BelasicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Akademija Pandev win49%

Draw26%

Belasica win24%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Akademija Pandev

Belasica

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

Last match: 11 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Akademija Pandev	6	+11	14
6	Belasica	7	+2	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · akademija pandev winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Akademija Pandev a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Akademija Pandev v Belasica~~1.42 – 0.88

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D5 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 11~~4 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Akademija Pandev win

Published at 50%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Akademija Pandev win	49%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Belasica win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Akademija Pandev or draw	76%	–	–
Akademija Pandev clean sheet	43%	–	–
Belasica clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 10.9 9.4 4.0 1 14.6 11.3 5.2 2 9.8 8.0 3.6 3 4.8 3.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Akademija Pandev down, Belasica across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,286 Second League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.7% of games this season, across 53 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Akademija Pandev at home: 3.00 scored, 0.25 conceded a game (last 4). Belasica away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Akademija Pandev, 0.88 for Belasica. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 15 Aug

AKADEMIJA PANDEV

WDWWWD2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 7–0 · 2–2

BELASICA

WDDDDD1–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ohrid	8	+12	19
2	FK Rabotnicki	7	+12	18
3	Pelister	8	+11	18
4	Akademija Pandev	6	+11	14
5	Teteks	8	+3	12
6	Belasica	7	+2	11
7	Makedonija GjP	8	−2	10
8	Kamjani	7	−3	10
9	Novaci	8	−3	8
10	Detonit Plachkovica	8	−4	8
11	Kozuv Gevgelija	7	−5	8
12	Gorno Lisiče	8	−1	6
13	Osogovo	8	−7	3
14	Shkupi 1927	8	−26	0