Shkendija v Vardar Skopje

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shkendija win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shkendija was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shkendija v Vardar Skopje
4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Vardar Skopje
5. 31′A goal for Shkendija on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–19–9
6. 31′We published Shkendija at 42%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–19–9
7. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Shkendija 1–0 Vardar Skopje
8. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 71% now
9. 32′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 72–19–9
10. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
11. 33′GOAL DISALLOWED · 31' Shkendija
12. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
13. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Shkendija 1–0 Vardar Skopje
14. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
15. 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 40' Shkendija
16. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 36% now
17. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Shkendija win 73%)
18. 45′HALF-TIME Shkendija 0–0 Vardar Skopje
19. 46′SECOND HALF Shkendija 0–0 Vardar Skopje
20. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
21. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shkendija · On: B. Ibraimi · Off: F. Ndzengue
22. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shkendija · On: F. Tamba · Off: V. Krstevski
23. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Shkendija
24. 55′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–46–24
25. 56′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 30–46–24
26. 58′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
27. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Shkendija
28. 67′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–19
29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
30. 74′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
31. 79′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Vardar Skopje · On: E. Spahiu · Off: G. Zakaric
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
34. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Shkendija
35. 84′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Shkendija · On: M. Gjorgjievski · Off: B. Dimoski
37. 90′A goal for Vardar Skopje on 90′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–4–95
38. 90′We said Shkendija at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–4–95
39. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Shkendija 0–1 Vardar Skopje
40. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Shkendija win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
41. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Vardar Skopje win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
42. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Vardar Skopje
43. 95′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' D. Danev · Vardar Skopje
44. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Vardar Skopje win 98%)
45. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Shkendija 0–1 Vardar Skopje
46. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Vardar Skopje win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 97%)
47. FTFULL TIME Shkendija 0–0 Vardar Skopje
48. FTShkendija 0–0 Vardar Skopje · Shkendija win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.