Aresimi v Tikveš

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tikveš win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tikveš was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 27–24–49
3. 1′KICK-OFF Aresimi v Tikveš
4. 24′A goal for Aresimi on 24′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 54–23–22
5. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Aresimi 1–0 Tikveš
6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Aresimi win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Tikveš win 46%)
8. 25′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 55–23–22
9. 29′GOAL DISALLOWED · 29' Aresimi
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 44% now
11. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Tikveš win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Aresimi win 56%)
12. 38′A goal for Aresimi on 38′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 58–24–18
13. 38′GOAL DISALLOWED · 24' Aresimi
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Aresimi 1–0 Tikveš
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 18% now
16. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Aresimi win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Tikveš win 42%)
17. 39′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–0 · 58–25–17
18. 40′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 58–25–17
19. 45′Tikveš score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–36–40
20. 45′HALF-TIME Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš
21. 46′SECOND HALF Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš
22. 47′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–25–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
23. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Aresimi
24. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš
25. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
26. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Tikveš
27. 52′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 23–40–37
28. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Aresimi win 61%)
29. 58′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 22–44–34
30. 66′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 19–52–29
31. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
32. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Tikveš
33. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Aresimi
34. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Tikveš
35. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
36. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Tikveš
37. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Tikveš win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
38. 87′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 6–86–8
39. 92′We said Tikveš at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
40. FTFULL TIME Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš
41. FTAresimi 1–1 Tikveš · Tikveš win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.