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Model 1.2

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Vardar Skopje v Tikveš

Vardar Skopje
12:30Upcoming
Tikveš

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Vardar SkopjeDrawTikveš
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Vardar Skopje 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vardar Skopje are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vardar Skopje 58%, draw 24%, Tikveš 18%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Vardar Skopje v TikvešBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Vardar Skopje win58%
Draw24%
Tikveš win18%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vardar Skopje

Tikveš

4Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

Last match: 19 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vardar skopje winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
58% The market–
Us58%

We make Vardar Skopje a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vardar Skopje v Tikveš1.85 – 0.92
Form · Cup this season · since 3 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:55
Our probability · Vardar Skopje win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vardar Skopje win58%––
Draw24%––
Tikveš win18%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Vardar Skopje or draw82%––
Vardar Skopje clean sheet41%––
Tikveš clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.1%
0123450 7.5 5.4 2.8 1 11.1 11.1 4.8 2 10.5 9.3 4.3 3 6.5 5.7 2.6 4 3.1 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vardar Skopje down, Tikveš across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.10
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsTIK 1–1 VAR · VAR 7–0 TIK · VAR 3–1 TIK · TIK 1–2 VAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 3 Sept

VARDAR SKOPJE

W5–0

TIKVEŠ

W13–0