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Model 1.2

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Struga v Belasica

Struga
12:30Upcoming
Belasica

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

StrugaDrawBelasica
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Struga 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Struga are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Struga 78%, draw 16%, Belasica 6%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Struga v BelasicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Struga win78%
Draw16%
Belasica win6%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Struga

Belasica

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

Last match: 24 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · struga winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
78% The market–
Us78%

We make Struga a 78% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.5, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Struga v Belasica2.30 – 0.50
Form · Cup this season · since 2 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Struga win78%––
Draw16%––
Belasica win6%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
Struga or draw94%––
Struga clean sheet61%––
Belasica clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 16.2%
0123450 6.3 2.8 1 13.8 7.2 2 16.2 8.0 3 12.4 6.1 4 7.1 3.5 5 3.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Struga down, Belasica across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 2 Sept

STRUGA

W10–1

BELASICA

W3–1