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Model 1.2

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Skopje v Novaci

Skopje
12:30Upcoming
Novaci

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SkopjeDrawNovaci
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Skopje 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Skopje are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Skopje 66%, draw 20%, Novaci 13%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Skopje v NovaciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Skopje win66%
Draw20%
Novaci win13%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Skopje

Novaci

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

Last match: 24 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · skopje winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
66% The market–
Us66%

We make Skopje a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Skopje v Novaci2.00 – 0.67
Form · Cup this season · since 9 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 06:47
Our probability · Skopje win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Skopje win66%––
Draw20%––
Novaci win13%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Skopje or draw87%––
Skopje clean sheet52%––
Novaci clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%
0123450 8.0 5.5 1 14.3 8.9 3.2 2 12.9 8.2 2.9 3 8.5 5.2 4 4.6 2.7 5 2.2
under 2% 5% 12%+Skopje down, Novaci across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsNOV 0–1 SKO · SKO 1–0 NOV · NOV 4–0 SKO · SKO 2–0 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 9 Sept

SKOPJE

W1–0

NOVACI

W1–0