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Model 1.2

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Pelister v Sileks

Pelister
15:30Upcoming
Sileks

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PelisterDrawSileks
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Sileks 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sileks are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pelister 32%, draw 30%, Sileks 38%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Pelister v SileksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Pelister win32%
Draw30%
Sileks win38%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 15:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pelister

Sileks

4Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

Last match: 23 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sileks winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Sileks a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pelister v Sileks1.05 – 1.18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:05
Our probability · Sileks win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pelister win32%––
Draw30%––
Sileks win38%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Pelister or draw62%––
Pelister clean sheet32%––
Sileks clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%
0123450 12.3 11.9 7.5 3.0 1 10.5 13.5 7.5 3.0 2 5.9 6.7 3.9 3 2.2 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pelister down, Sileks across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.51 of 7
Both scored1 of 7
Last meetingsSIL 0–0 PEL · PEL 0–0 SIL · SIL 3–1 PEL · SIL 0–0 PEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 2 Sept

PELISTER

W6–1

SILEKS

No matches in our record yet.