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Model 1.2

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Makedonija GjP v Bregalnica Štip

Makedonija GjP
12:30Upcoming
Bregalnica Štip

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Makedonija GjPDrawBregalnica Štip
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Makedonija GjP 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Makedonija GjP are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Makedonija GjP 38%, draw 32%, Bregalnica Štip 31%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Makedonija GjP v Bregalnica ŠtipBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Makedonija GjP win38%
Draw32%
Bregalnica Štip win31%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Makedonija GjP

Bregalnica Štip

4Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · Second League (Macedonia)

Last match: 17 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · makedonija gjp winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Makedonija GjP a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Makedonija GjP v Bregalnica Štip1.07 – 0.94
Form · Cup this season · since 2 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Makedonija GjP win38%––
Draw32%––
Bregalnica Štip win31%––
Over 2.5 goals33%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals60%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Makedonija GjP or draw69%––
Makedonija GjP clean sheet39%––
Bregalnica Štip clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%
0123450 13.8 12.1 5.9 1 13.8 13.9 6.4 2 7.7 7.2 3.4 3 2.7 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Makedonija GjP down, Bregalnica Štip across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.10
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsBRE 0–0 MAK · MAK 3–0 BRE · MAK 2–1 BRE · BRE 2–3 MAK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 2 Sept

MAKEDONIJA GJP

W14–0

BREGALNICA ŠTIP

W4–1