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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Bashkimi Kumanovo v Shkëndija Haraçinë

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Bashkimi Kumanovo v Shkëndija Haraçinë

Bashkimi Kumanovo
12:30Upcoming
Shkëndija Haraçinë

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bashkimi KumanovoDrawShkëndija Haraçinë
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Shkëndija Haraçinë 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Shkëndija Haraçinë are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bashkimi Kumanovo 31%, draw 29%, Shkëndija Haraçinë 39%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Bashkimi Kumanovo v Shkëndija HaraçinëBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bashkimi Kumanovo win31%
Draw29%
Shkëndija Haraçinë win39%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bashkimi Kumanovo

Shkëndija Haraçinë

10Days since last match5

Last match: 18 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

Last match: 23 Oct · First League (Macedonia)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shkëndija haraçinë winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Shkëndija Haraçinë a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bashkimi Kumanovo v Shkëndija Haraçinë1.06 – 1.22
Form · Cup this season · since 9 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:05
Our probability · Shkëndija Haraçinë win

Published at 40%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bashkimi Kumanovo win31%––
Draw29%––
Shkëndija Haraçinë win39%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Bashkimi Kumanovo or draw61%––
Bashkimi Kumanovo clean sheet29%––
Shkëndija Haraçinë clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%
0123450 10.6 12.0 7.6 3.1 1 10.4 13.7 8.1 3.3 2 5.7 7.0 4.3 3 2.0 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bashkimi Kumanovo down, Shkëndija Haraçinë across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsBAS 1–2 SHK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 9 Sept

BASHKIMI KUMANOVO

W5–0

SHKËNDIJA HARAÇINË

W3–1