Victoria Rosport v Résidence Walferdange prediction · National Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Victoria RosportDrawRésidence Walferdange

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Résidence Walferdange 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Résidence Walferdange are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Victoria Rosport 36%, draw 22%, Résidence Walferdange 43%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Victoria Rosport v Résidence WalferdangeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Victoria Rosport win36%

Draw22%

Résidence Walferdange win43%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueParty-Rent-Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Victoria Rosport

Résidence Walferdange

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · National Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Résidence Walferdange	10	0	16
12	Victoria Rosport	10	−8	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · résidence walferdange winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Résidence Walferdange a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Victoria Rosport v Résidence Walferdange~~1.67 – 1.85

~~Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 16~~12 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Victoria Rosport win	36%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Résidence Walferdange win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Victoria Rosport or draw	57%	–	–
Victoria Rosport clean sheet	17%	–	–
Résidence Walferdange clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.1 5.9 5.2 3.2 1 5.4 8.9 8.1 5.0 2.4 2 4.2 7.4 6.6 4.1 3 2.4 4.1 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Victoria Rosport down, Résidence Walferdange across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,289 National Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Victoria Rosport at home: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Résidence Walferdange away: 2.20 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Victoria Rosport, 1.85 for Résidence Walferdange. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug

VICTORIA ROSPORT

DLLDWL2–2 · 0–2 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–5

RÉSIDENCE WALFERDANGE

WLWWLD5–0 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–6 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	UNA Strassen	10	+17	28
2	FC Differdange 03	10	+22	27
3	US Mondorf-les-bains	10	+9	24
4	UN Kaerjeng 97	10	+12	21
5	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	10	+13	19
6	Atert Bissen	10	+11	19
7	Progres Niederkorn	11	+7	19
8	Résidence Walferdange	10	0	16
9	F91 Dudelange	10	0	13
10	US Hostert	10	−3	11
11	AS Jeunesse Esch	10	−5	10
12	Victoria Rosport	10	−8	8
13	Etzella Ettelbruck	11	−10	8
14	US Rumelange	10	−16	7
15	Wiltz	10	−13	4
16	Swift Hesperange	10	−36	–