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UNA Strassen v Racing FC Union Luxembourg
UNA Strassen
Racing FC Union LuxembourgNational Division · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said UNA Strassen win at 55%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: UNA Strassen was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–23–22
- 1′KICK-OFF UNA Strassen v Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- 7′A goal for UNA Strassen on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–14–8
- 7′We published UNA Strassen at 55%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–14–8
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' UNA Strassen 1–0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
- 10′Racing FC Union Luxembourg score on 9′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 53–25–22
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' UNA Strassen 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
- 13′10′: D. Stolz on the scoresheet for Racing FC Union Luxembourg, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 52–26–22
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 43′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–36–20
- 45′HALF-TIME UNA Strassen 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- 46′SECOND HALF UNA Strassen 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- 52′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–41–19
- 52′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 39–41–19
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was UNA Strassen win 38%)
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
- 61′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
- 68′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 73′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
- 78′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 82′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–7
- 86′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' UNA Strassen win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
- 92′We said UNA Strassen at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME UNA Strassen 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- FTUNA Strassen 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg · UNA Strassen win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
UNA Strassen are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: UNA Strassen 55%, draw 23%, Racing FC Union Luxembourg 22%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
UNA Strassen win55%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg win22%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 10
Match timeline
All events
UNA StrassenMIN
Racing FC Union LuxembourgEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
UNA Strassen
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Last match: 11 Oct · National Division
Last match: 11 Oct · National Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make UNA Strassen a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen win | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg win | 22% | 18% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 33% | −2 |
| UNA Strassen or draw | 78% | 82% | −4 |
| UNA Strassen clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in National Division this season · since 22 Aug
UNA STRASSEN
RACING FC UNION LUXEMBOURG
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 9 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 3 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 9 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Progres Niederkorn | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 9 | +13 | 18 |
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | F91 Dudelange | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 9 | −6 | 8 |
| 12 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 9 | −6 | 7 |
| 13 | US Rumelange | 9 | −16 | 6 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 9 | −11 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 9 | −10 | 4 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 9 | −31 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Differdange 03
UN Kaerjeng 97
US Mondorf-les-bains
Progres Niederkorn
Atert Bissen
Résidence Walferdange
US Hostert
F91 Dudelange
Victoria Rosport
AS Jeunesse Esch
US Rumelange
Etzella Ettelbruck
Wiltz
Swift Hesperange