UN Kaerjeng 97 v Atert Bissen prediction · National Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

UN Kaerjeng 97DrawAtert Bissen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Atert Bissen 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atert Bissen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: UN Kaerjeng 97 26%, draw 19%, Atert Bissen 54%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on UN Kaerjeng 97 v Atert BissenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

UN Kaerjeng 97 win26%

Draw19%

Atert Bissen win54%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

UN Kaerjeng 97

Atert Bissen

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · National Division

Last match: 18 Oct · National Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	UN Kaerjeng 97	10	+12	21
6	Atert Bissen	10	+11	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atert bissen winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Atert Bissen a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · UN Kaerjeng 97 v Atert Bissen~~1.54 – 2.29

~~Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 21 v 19~~4 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
UN Kaerjeng 97 win	26%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Atert Bissen win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
UN Kaerjeng 97 or draw	46%	–	–
UN Kaerjeng 97 clean sheet	11%	–	–
Atert Bissen clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%

0123450 2.3 5.4 5.8 4.4 2.5 1 3.7 7.6 8.5 6.4 3.7 2 2.7 5.8 6.4 4.8 2.8 3 3.0 3.3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+UN Kaerjeng 97 down, Atert Bissen across0–5 goals a side shown (95.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,289 National Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

UN Kaerjeng 97 at home: 3.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Atert Bissen away: 3.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for UN Kaerjeng 97, 2.29 for Atert Bissen. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~UNK 1–2 ATE · ATE 1–0 UNK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug

UN KAERJENG 97

WLWWWW6–0 · 1–4 · 5–0 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 2–1

ATERT BISSEN

LLWWDW1–2 · 1–2 · 6–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	UNA Strassen	10	+17	28
2	FC Differdange 03	10	+22	27
3	US Mondorf-les-bains	10	+9	24
4	UN Kaerjeng 97	10	+12	21
5	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	10	+13	19
6	Atert Bissen	10	+11	19
7	Progres Niederkorn	11	+7	19
8	Résidence Walferdange	10	0	16
9	F91 Dudelange	10	0	13
10	US Hostert	10	−3	11
11	AS Jeunesse Esch	10	−5	10
12	Victoria Rosport	10	−8	8
13	Etzella Ettelbruck	11	−10	8
14	US Rumelange	10	−16	7
15	Wiltz	10	−13	4
16	Swift Hesperange	10	−36	–