Résidence Walferdange v US Rumelange

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Résidence Walferdange win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Résidence Walferdange was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–19–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Résidence Walferdange v US Rumelange
4. 19′Résidence Walferdange find the net on 18′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
5. 19′We published Résidence Walferdange at 59%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' Résidence Walferdange 1–0 US Rumelange
7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 77% now
8. 24′A goal for US Rumelange on 24′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 54–23–23
9. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Résidence Walferdange 1–1 US Rumelange
10. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 54% now
11. 28′US Rumelange score on 27′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 29–24–47
12. 28′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–24–47
13. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Résidence Walferdange 1–2 US Rumelange
14. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
15. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' US Rumelange win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Résidence Walferdange win 29%)
16. 31′28′: J. Diallo on the scoresheet for US Rumelange, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 28–25–48
17. 39′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–25–50
18. 40′Résidence Walferdange find the net on 40′. 2–2. 2–2 · 50–28–22
19. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Résidence Walferdange 2–2 US Rumelange
20. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 50% now
21. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Résidence Walferdange win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was US Rumelange win 22%)
22. 41′4 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 49–29–22
23. 45′HALF-TIME Résidence Walferdange 2–2 US Rumelange
24. 46′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 2–2 · 47–31–22
25. 46′SECOND HALF Résidence Walferdange 2–2 US Rumelange
26. 53′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–35–21
27. 62′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–42–19
28. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
29. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Résidence Walferdange win 38%)
30. 68′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–48–18
31. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
32. 75′A goal for US Rumelange on 75′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 5–22–73
33. 75′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 2–3 · 5–22–73
34. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Résidence Walferdange 2–3 US Rumelange
35. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 5% now
36. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' US Rumelange win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
37. 76′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 5–21–74
38. 77′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–21–75
39. 78′C. Irigoyen scores for US Rumelange on 74′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 4–20–77
40. 85′Résidence Walferdange score on 84′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 13–80–7
41. 85′We said Résidence Walferdange at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 3–3 · 13–80–7
42. 85′6 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 13–80–7
43. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Résidence Walferdange 3–3 US Rumelange
44. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 13% now
45. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was US Rumelange win 7%)
46. 87′85′: P. Macedo on the scoresheet for Résidence Walferdange, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 11–83–6
47. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Résidence Walferdange win: 59% at kick-off, 8% now
48. FTFULL TIME Résidence Walferdange 3–3 US Rumelange
49. FTRésidence Walferdange 3–3 US Rumelange · Résidence Walferdange win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.