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Etzella Ettelbruck v Progres Niederkorn
Etzella Ettelbruck
Progres NiederkornNational Division · SAT 24 OCT · Stade Am Deich
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Progres Niederkorn win at 60%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Progres Niederkorn was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 18–22–60
- 2′KICK-OFF Etzella Ettelbruck v Progres Niederkorn
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
- 40′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 18–34–48
- 45′HALF-TIME Etzella Ettelbruck 0–0 Progres Niederkorn
- 46′SECOND HALF Etzella Ettelbruck 0–0 Progres Niederkorn
- 49′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 17–39–44
- 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 16–43–41
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
- 57′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 16–45–39
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Progres Niederkorn win 43%)
- 64′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 14–51–34
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
- 70′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 12–59–29
- 75′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 10–66–24
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, 20% now
- 79′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 8–73–19
- 80′Etzella Ettelbruck score on 80′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–0 Progres Niederkorn
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, 2% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 73%)
- 81′We said Progres Niederkorn at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–0 · 84–14–1
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Progres Niederkorn win: 60% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 92′Etzella Ettelbruck find the net on 90′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Etzella Ettelbruck 2–0 Progres Niederkorn
- FTFULL TIME Etzella Ettelbruck 2–0 Progres Niederkorn
- FTEtzella Ettelbruck 2–0 Progres Niederkorn · Progres Niederkorn win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Progres Niederkorn are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Etzella Ettelbruck 18%, draw 22%, Progres Niederkorn 60%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Etzella Ettelbruck win18%
Progres Niederkorn win60%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueStade Am Deich
Match timeline
All events
Etzella EttelbruckMIN
Progres NiederkornEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Etzella Ettelbruck
Progres Niederkorn
Last match: 18 Oct · National Division
Last match: 17 Oct · National Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Progres Niederkorn a 60% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.9, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 61%, 60% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck win | 18% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| Progres Niederkorn win | 60% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – | – |
| Etzella Ettelbruck or draw | 40% | – | – |
| Etzella Ettelbruck clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Progres Niederkorn clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug
ETZELLA ETTELBRUCK
PROGRES NIEDERKORN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 10 | +22 | 27 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 10 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 10 | +13 | 19 |
| 6 | Atert Bissen | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | F91 Dudelange | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 10 | −3 | 11 |
| 11 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 10 | −5 | 10 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 10 | −8 | 8 |
| 13 | US Rumelange | 10 | −16 | 7 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 10 | −12 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | −13 | 4 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 10 | −36 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
UNA Strassen
FC Differdange 03
US Mondorf-les-bains
UN Kaerjeng 97
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Atert Bissen
Résidence Walferdange
F91 Dudelange
US Hostert
AS Jeunesse Esch
Victoria Rosport
US Rumelange
Wiltz
Swift Hesperange